{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ecdcbe38-e1c5-4ccf-ad67-0ffa8ce94261", "symbol": "RXST", "name": "Rxsight Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -21.497, "architecture_energy": 17.918, "architecture_maturity": 99.025, "architecture_confidence": 69.335, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.93, "rotation_up": 34.37, "upward_expansion": 20.49, "deceleration": 43.88, "rotation_down": 22.9, "downward_expansion": 56.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.797333, 5.542909, 5.638738, 6.004032 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 6.26, "trend_reference": 6.677167, "distance_from_trend": -0.062477, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 27.356955, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.771173, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -32.203063, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.253874, "excess_performance": -0.441327, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.062477, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.21459, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.771173, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.029031, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.322031, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.174051, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.253874, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.382532, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4750034, "relative_activity": 1.002815, "balance": 1.382532, "dry_up": 1.01669, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.127421, "annualized_volatility": 0.668678, "from_high_reference": -0.526475, "from_low_reference": 0.397321 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.677167, "fair_value_reference": 27.356955, "structural_low": 4.48, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.059477, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.066252, "regime_survival": 0.944444, "best_return": 0.264646, "worst_return": -0.455108, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.339728, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.439672, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.09375, "worst_return": -0.47027, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.501456, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.587082, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": -0.352679, "worst_return": -0.650234, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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33.556395, "activity_lines": [ 5.322, 5.240364, 5.693, 6.21772 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.19, "volume": 4734833, "typical_volume": 4621961.7, "trend": 6.908833, "fair_value": 27.651635, "relative_strength": -41.424407, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.142909, "energy": 31.648121, "activity_lines": [ 5.305333, 5.220273, 5.604881, 6.094484 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.01, "volume": 4301242, "typical_volume": 4641916.35, "trend": 6.763167, "fair_value": 27.497404, "relative_strength": -31.99516, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.435248, "energy": 23.728766, "activity_lines": [ 5.531333, 5.358182, 5.606762, 6.036495 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.26, "volume": 4750034, "typical_volume": 4736700.55, "trend": 6.677167, "fair_value": 27.356955, "relative_strength": -32.203063, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -21.496657, "energy": 17.917597, "activity_lines": [ 5.797333, 5.542909, 5.638738, 6.004032 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }