{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ece7432c-c111-4630-bfad-fbd2d3ca525f", "symbol": "TRIVENI", "name": "Triveni Engineering & Industries Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 83.895, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Structural failure", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -82.434, "architecture_energy": 89.335, "architecture_maturity": 26.0, "architecture_confidence": 72.884, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 18.25, "rotation_up": 16.0, "upward_expansion": 27.02, "deceleration": 29.39, "rotation_down": 79.2, "downward_expansion": 91.02 }, "activity_lines": [ 280.326665, 339.580906, 365.341188, 371.945994 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 233.220001, "trend_reference": 374.973263, "distance_from_trend": -0.378036, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 373.207395, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.375093, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -36.134933, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.373906, "excess_performance": -0.330197, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.378036, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.001079, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.375093, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.475976, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.361349, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.480187, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.373906, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.613618, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4281467, "relative_activity": 1.508596, "balance": 1.613618, "dry_up": 1.168702, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.18647, "annualized_volatility": 0.969763, "from_high_reference": -0.524138, "from_low_reference": 0.05985 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 374.973263, "fair_value_reference": 373.207395, "structural_low": 220.050003, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.006521, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.039154, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.222791, "worst_return": -0.121943, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.06628, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.03767, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.114645, "worst_return": 0.017915, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.131386, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.044481, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.140894, "worst_return": 0.121878, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"2025-05-16", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.087422, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-27", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.042723, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.011301, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.120571, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.124738, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-23", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.198219, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": 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"direction": 3.933226, "energy": 6.004301, "activity_lines": [ 389.759995, 398.139996, 396.008806, 391.863316 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 221.5, "volume": 3040681, "typical_volume": 2745934.2, "trend": 379.083063, "fair_value": 373.504441, "relative_strength": -39.208401, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -55.975247, "energy": 61.011327, "activity_lines": [ 326.81333, 366.384542, 379.814045, 381.356514 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 233.220001, "volume": 4281467, "typical_volume": 2838048.15, "trend": 374.973263, "fair_value": 373.207395, "relative_strength": -36.134933, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -82.433757, "energy": 89.334574, "activity_lines": [ 280.326665, 339.580906, 365.341188, 371.945994 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }