{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ed0c1c23-08a7-4860-ba1a-f1ab060f5e51", "symbol": "FOXA", "name": "Fox Corp Class A", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 78.529, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -12.434, "architecture_energy": 12.736, "architecture_maturity": 62.808, "architecture_confidence": 42.717, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.05, "rotation_up": 32.75, "upward_expansion": 15.06, "deceleration": 44.03, "rotation_down": 21.98, "downward_expansion": 60.39 }, "activity_lines": [ 59.224, 57.690727, 59.381095, 59.814982 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 64.03, "trend_reference": 61.051443, "distance_from_trend": 0.048788, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 47.414925, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.350419, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.355826, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.00684, "excess_performance": -0.194294, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.048788, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.057061, "read": "Falling" 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48.34, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": 0.00121, "positive_rate": 0.533333, "directional_follow_through": 0.466667, "median_excess_return": -0.007539, "regime_survival": 0.733333, "best_return": 0.114587, "worst_return": -0.066974, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.017738, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.036027, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.159517, "worst_return": -0.098166, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.007152, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.068014, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.350932, "worst_return": -0.131268, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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69.174788, "activity_lines": [ 55.096667, 57.465091, 59.630952, 60.340611 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 55.31, "volume": 18101267, "typical_volume": 24169364.95, "trend": 61.867333, "fair_value": 47.048921, "relative_strength": -18.490155, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.830485, "energy": 41.629705, "activity_lines": [ 55.496667, 56.684364, 59.165286, 59.877481 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 58.23, "volume": 17087093, "typical_volume": 23867681.75, "trend": 61.361394, "fair_value": 47.218087, "relative_strength": -14.405977, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.485274, "energy": 28.57608, "activity_lines": [ 56.664667, 56.608, 58.999, 59.642814 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 64.03, "volume": 32009227, "typical_volume": 24525986.2, "trend": 61.051443, "fair_value": 47.414925, "relative_strength": -10.355826, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -12.434168, "energy": 12.736399, "activity_lines": [ 59.224, 57.690727, 59.381095, 59.814982 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }