{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ed140edf-5a21-4539-addf-ae6f95c71145", "symbol": "BERGEPAINT", "name": "Berger Paints India Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 59.9, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 48.913, "architecture_energy": 23.82, "architecture_maturity": 34.841, "architecture_confidence": 92.989, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.6, "rotation_up": 33.89, "upward_expansion": 56.71, "deceleration": 84.24, "rotation_down": 24.48, "downward_expansion": 18.04 }, "activity_lines": [ 511.582763, 512.750143, 507.5221, 494.127364 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 530.549988, "trend_reference": 482.555111, "distance_from_trend": 0.09946, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 527.832254, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.005149, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.413769, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.123095, "excess_performance": 0.166804, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.09946, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022554, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.005149, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.033611, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.054138, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.028074, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.123095, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 4.57744, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3651814, "relative_activity": 1.606335, "balance": 4.57744, "dry_up": 0.796105, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.06289, "annualized_volatility": 0.291065, "from_high_reference": -0.107644, "from_low_reference": 0.356558 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 482.555111, "fair_value_reference": 527.832254, "structural_low": 391.100006, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.003159, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.016932, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.070202, "worst_return": -0.123378, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.030222, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.049453, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.02933, "worst_return": -0.105876, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.127442, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.12464, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.02896, "worst_return": -0.182662, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"activity_lines": [ 506.584717, 511.186014, 498.972385, 488.13897 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 494.218658, "volume": 1292228, "typical_volume": 2230846.7, "trend": 482.273355, "fair_value": 528.532031, "relative_strength": 1.249493, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.213722, "energy": 22.52612, "activity_lines": [ 498.762138, 507.788824, 500.314248, 488.806771 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 516.202665, "volume": 1504608, "typical_volume": 2200902.15, "trend": 482.010111, "fair_value": 528.125744, "relative_strength": 3.250535, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 36.493107, "energy": 22.997301, "activity_lines": [ 502.032984, 509.102024, 503.49307, 490.995759 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 530.549988, "volume": 3651814, "typical_volume": 2273383.25, "trend": 482.555111, "fair_value": 527.832254, "relative_strength": 5.413769, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.913319, "energy": 23.820102, "activity_lines": [ 511.582763, 512.750143, 507.5221, 494.127364 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }