{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ed23df6b-9377-4e4d-8d92-0a1cdd9ec9fc", "symbol": "6595", "name": "Julien's International Entertainment Group", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -37.021, "architecture_energy": 20.949, "architecture_maturity": 76.292, "architecture_confidence": 59.942, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.1, "rotation_up": 21.02, "upward_expansion": 12.74, "deceleration": 64.07, "rotation_down": 36.6, "downward_expansion": 60.41 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.986667, 29.962727, 30.420476, 30.908588 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 30.450001, "trend_reference": 31.644775, "distance_from_trend": -0.037756, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 33.76689, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.098229, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -35.589289, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.088323, "excess_performance": -0.529695, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.037756, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048916, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.098229, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.018996, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.355893, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048576, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.088323, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.623312, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 714164, "relative_activity": 3.070055, "balance": 2.623312, "dry_up": 2.74134, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.07566, "annualized_volatility": 0.196054, "from_high_reference": -0.16647, "from_low_reference": 0.119485 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 31.644775, "fair_value_reference": 33.76689, "structural_low": 27.200001, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.002625, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.533333, "median_excess_return": -0.040364, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.1825, "worst_return": -0.080645, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.00163, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.114698, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.181579, "worst_return": -0.075501, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.049869, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.056173, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.163158, "worst_return": -0.079931, "sufficient": false }, { 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"gate": "down", "direction": -58.02865, "energy": 48.646727, "activity_lines": [ 29.903333, 30.282727, 30.901667, 31.459175 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 29.950001, "volume": 371299, "typical_volume": 141247.1, "trend": 32.153109, "fair_value": 33.748054, "relative_strength": -36.444498, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -51.422481, "energy": 31.639373, "activity_lines": [ 29.896667, 30.165455, 30.761905, 31.306179 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.299999, "volume": 756279, "typical_volume": 175307.55, "trend": 31.963109, "fair_value": 33.76088, "relative_strength": -36.08189, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.073747, "energy": 33.204037, "activity_lines": [ 29.746667, 29.946364, 30.574762, 31.122107 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 30.0, "volume": 709048, "typical_volume": 202148.75, "trend": 31.796442, "fair_value": 33.764511, "relative_strength": -35.259713, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.631677, "energy": 28.763999, "activity_lines": [ 29.776667, 29.904545, 30.47, 30.995455 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 30.450001, "volume": 714164, "typical_volume": 232622.55, "trend": 31.644775, "fair_value": 33.76689, "relative_strength": -35.589289, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.021332, "energy": 20.949234, "activity_lines": [ 29.986667, 29.962727, 30.420476, 30.908588 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }