{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ed2765ff-b776-4afd-8f52-0130da6f4514", "symbol": "ALWEC", "name": "We.Connect SA", "exchange": "PAR", "country": "FR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FCHI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 58.089, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 17.996, "architecture_energy": 15.441, "architecture_maturity": 13.914, "architecture_confidence": 78.158, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 58.2, "rotation_up": 24.58, "upward_expansion": 49.91, "deceleration": 78.31, "rotation_down": 32.07, "downward_expansion": 25.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.573333, 25.783636, 25.82166, 25.394624 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 25.5, "trend_reference": 24.849505, "distance_from_trend": 0.026177, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 18.951829, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.345517, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 2.965465, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.071429, "excess_performance": 0.018117, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.026177, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.048082, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.345517, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.163966, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.029655, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.213193, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.071429, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.562206, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4090, "relative_activity": 1.439482, "balance": 0.562206, "dry_up": 1.114807, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.040787, "annualized_volatility": 0.344427, "from_high_reference": -0.125209, "from_low_reference": 0.363636 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.849505, "fair_value_reference": 18.951829, "structural_low": 20.799999, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.013514, "positive_rate": 0.391304, "directional_follow_through": 0.391304, "median_excess_return": -0.022217, "regime_survival": 0.608696, "best_return": 0.13251, "worst_return": -0.196676, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.034122, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.051486, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.271186, "worst_return": -0.197279, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.042279, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.166667, "median_excess_return": -0.100846, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.07971, "worst_return": -0.152298, "sufficient": true }, { 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18.642997, "relative_strength": 13.532179, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.885944, "energy": 33.218446, "activity_lines": [ 26.266667, 26.187874, 25.656139, 25.194282 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 25.799999, "volume": 1368, "typical_volume": 2808.65, "trend": 24.749505, "fair_value": 18.71813, "relative_strength": 9.735433, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.462924, "energy": 31.797229, "activity_lines": [ 26.18, 26.104901, 25.73002, 25.267217 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 25.299999, "volume": 4677, "typical_volume": 2943.1, "trend": 24.772839, "fair_value": 18.794357, "relative_strength": 6.818213, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.947155, "energy": 21.730115, "activity_lines": [ 25.899999, 25.952533, 25.756281, 25.302732 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 25.5, "volume": 2535, "typical_volume": 2875.3, "trend": 24.802839, "fair_value": 18.873093, "relative_strength": 5.685548, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 31.57791, "energy": 15.056672, "activity_lines": [ 25.72, 25.859972, 25.797304, 25.349646 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.5, "volume": 4090, "typical_volume": 2841.3, "trend": 24.849505, "fair_value": 18.951829, "relative_strength": 2.965465, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.9959, "energy": 15.440505, "activity_lines": [ 25.573333, 25.783636, 25.82166, 25.394624 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }