{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ed2915a8-db15-43cb-b775-26238d2528b4",
    "symbol": "ACCO",
    "name": "Acco Brands Corporation",
    "exchange": "NYSE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 75.174,
    "architecture_energy": 59.335,
    "architecture_maturity": 36.245,
    "architecture_confidence": 91.078,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.97,
        "rotation_up": 59.59,
        "upward_expansion": 83.81,
        "deceleration": 50.66,
        "rotation_down": 20.49,
        "downward_expansion": 10.48
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        4.198,
        4.133818,
        3.981818,
        3.838758
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 4.41,
    "trend_reference": 3.737156,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.180042,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 4.099154,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.075832,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 7.159287,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.136476,
    "excess_performance": 0.010851,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.180042,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060173,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.075832,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.116434,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.071593,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.068902,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.136476,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.177496,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3753154,
      "relative_activity": 0.818897,
      "balance": 1.177496,
      "dry_up": 0.726689,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.068925,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.495731,
      "from_high_reference": -0.032555,
      "from_low_reference": 0.599582
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3.737156,
      "fair_value_reference": 4.099154,
      "structural_low": 2.756971,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": -0.021461,
        "positive_rate": 0.4375,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4375,
        "median_excess_return": -0.0302,
        "regime_survival": 0.5625,
        "best_return": 0.099476,
        "worst_return": -0.244179,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "best_return": 0.077421,
        "worst_return": -0.250118,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
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        "worst_return": -0.239008,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.306007,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-07-25",
        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 3101445,
        "typical_volume": 5149894.45,
        "trend": 3.692254,
        "fair_value": 4.104668,
        "relative_strength": 2.051641,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 34.659623,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 4.22,
        "volume": 3404193,
        "typical_volume": 4974753.65,
        "trend": 3.715361,
        "fair_value": 4.100054,
        "relative_strength": 6.298075,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.242956,
        "energy": 39.796568,
        "activity_lines": [
          4.086667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 4.41,
        "volume": 3753154,
        "typical_volume": 4583184.25,
        "trend": 3.737156,
        "fair_value": 4.099154,
        "relative_strength": 7.159287,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.174357,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}