{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ed2bd606-71a8-467f-a88f-736fe5576a07", "symbol": "Q1RV34", "name": "Qorvo, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 56.97, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -7.905, "architecture_energy": 32.329, "architecture_maturity": 39.894, "architecture_confidence": 61.254, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.25, "rotation_up": 16.7, "upward_expansion": 19.43, "deceleration": 69.86, "rotation_down": 62.72, "downward_expansion": 42.09 }, "activity_lines": [ 224.143339, 230.620004, 234.767241, 230.845444 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 240.960007, "trend_reference": 226.183335, "distance_from_trend": 0.065331, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 243.452885, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.01024, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.861521, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.10133, "excess_performance": 0.158378, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.065331, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010713, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.01024, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03009, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.018615, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.136378, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.10133, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.384615, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8, "relative_activity": 0.200501, "balance": 2.384615, "dry_up": 0.062657, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.047221, "annualized_volatility": 0.371779, "from_high_reference": -0.147798, "from_low_reference": 0.205162 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 226.183335, "fair_value_reference": 243.452885, "structural_low": 199.940002, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.004157, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.019165, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.098451, "worst_return": -0.101612, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.018644, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.015838, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.098777, "worst_return": -0.166882, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.065404, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.024985, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.180623, "worst_return": 0.020626, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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0.034691, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-05-08", "end": "2026-06-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.046752, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-06-26", "end": "2026-07-03", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-07-10", "end": "2026-07-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2026-07-17", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.133983, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 248.380005, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 21.9, "trend": 251.448999, "fair_value": 348.002948, "relative_strength": -2.819294, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 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212.177458, 214.294859, 220.267614 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-08", "close": 234.0, "volume": 3, "typical_volume": 58.8, "trend": 228.678667, "fair_value": 243.833846, "relative_strength": -15.499306, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 22.468682, "energy": 39.53189, "activity_lines": [ 222.166002, 216.106003, 215.770669, 220.612216 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-15", "close": 227.800003, "volume": 10, "typical_volume": 59.25, "trend": 227.988667, "fair_value": 243.843013, "relative_strength": -14.241314, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Emerging rotation", "gate": "down", "direction": 12.823906, "energy": 44.327838, "activity_lines": [ 226.067336, 218.577821, 216.676574, 220.555528 ] }, { "date": "2026-05-22", "close": 249.5, "volume": 5, "typical_volume": 59.5, "trend": 228.281333, "fair_value": 243.991282, "relative_strength": -5.259988, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": 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"relative_strength": -2.459184, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 41.359397, "energy": 78.626466, "activity_lines": [ 256.706002, 245.446002, 231.562812, 228.400905 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 244.940002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 45.3, "trend": 228.221668, "fair_value": 244.357885, "relative_strength": -2.175788, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.52919, "energy": 68.984555, "activity_lines": [ 254.133335, 247.366547, 233.524907, 229.451034 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 244.940002, "volume": 2, "typical_volume": 45.4, "trend": 227.780335, "fair_value": 244.364744, "relative_strength": -4.509478, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.781711, "energy": 58.395792, "activity_lines": [ 250.418002, 248.468911, 235.362478, 230.529636 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 244.940002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 39.65, "trend": 228.017002, "fair_value": 244.405513, "relative_strength": -4.654934, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 46.642949, "energy": 40.373445, "activity_lines": [ 247.006669, 248.816911, 237.075526, 231.636712 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 244.940002, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 39.5, "trend": 228.237668, "fair_value": 244.362693, "relative_strength": -6.043039, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 42.455194, "energy": 32.838278, "activity_lines": [ 245.180669, 248.651638, 238.648097, 232.728518 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 212.490005, "volume": 2, "typical_volume": 39.5, "trend": 227.376668, "fair_value": 244.093398, "relative_strength": -15.842245, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "up", "direction": -0.637866, "energy": 20.317711, "activity_lines": [ 234.123336, 242.248912, 236.975812, 231.71254 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 212.490005, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 39.5, "trend": 226.460001, "fair_value": 243.824103, "relative_strength": -15.308684, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.91773, "energy": 39.482432, "activity_lines": [ 225.470004, 236.237276, 235.319669, 230.75211 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 212.490005, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 39.5, "trend": 225.543335, "fair_value": 243.500449, "relative_strength": -16.556159, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -41.168322, "energy": 51.778511, "activity_lines": [ 218.980004, 230.504003, 233.679669, 229.85082 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 240.960007, "volume": 8, "typical_volume": 39.9, "trend": 226.183335, "fair_value": 243.452885, "relative_strength": -1.861521, "stage": 2, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -7.90506, "energy": 32.328707, "activity_lines": [ 224.143339, 230.620004, 234.767241, 230.845444 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }