{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ed588418-c9dc-4d83-87fa-947ba5bdbae7", "symbol": "603385", "name": "Huida Sanitary Ware Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.019, "architecture_energy": 55.778, "architecture_maturity": 76.144, "architecture_confidence": 94.637, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.88, "rotation_up": 26.37, "upward_expansion": 9.64, "deceleration": 60.42, "rotation_down": 53.55, "downward_expansion": 82.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 4.981333, 5.020909, 5.416762, 5.769634 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 5.24, "trend_reference": 6.211, "distance_from_trend": -0.156336, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.519842, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.1963, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.892937, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.267133, "excess_performance": -0.223929, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.156336, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.091383, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.1963, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.200396, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.188929, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.091783, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.267133, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.281807, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18046940, "relative_activity": 0.967048, "balance": 0.281807, "dry_up": 1.200614, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.085144, "annualized_volatility": 0.31197, "from_high_reference": -0.307794, "from_low_reference": 0.169643 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.211, "fair_value_reference": 6.519842, "structural_low": 4.48, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.48, "directional_follow_through": 0.48, "median_excess_return": -0.010648, "regime_survival": 0.72, "best_return": 0.173387, "worst_return": -0.149408, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.057148, "positive_rate": 0.636364, "directional_follow_through": 0.363636, "median_excess_return": -0.010518, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.199769, "worst_return": -0.255917, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.078249, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": 0.01272, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.166963, "worst_return": -0.052189, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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6.464333, "fair_value": 6.585524, "relative_strength": -25.785965, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.375183, "energy": 88.060298, "activity_lines": [ 5.098, 5.369455, 5.835286, 6.142043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4.88, "volume": 21665360, "typical_volume": 18506419.9, "trend": 6.405667, "fair_value": 6.569336, "relative_strength": -22.824679, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.902948, "energy": 86.352326, "activity_lines": [ 5.005333, 5.226909, 5.709, 6.039828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.54, "volume": 27352730, "typical_volume": 18608666.4, "trend": 6.328, "fair_value": 6.550904, "relative_strength": -28.503845, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.480694, "energy": 78.790858, "activity_lines": [ 4.838667, 5.056182, 5.562048, 5.919462 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.03, "volume": 22557850, "typical_volume": 18798269.4, "trend": 6.264333, "fair_value": 6.535803, "relative_strength": -20.55723, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.291237, "energy": 63.637316, "activity_lines": [ 4.876667, 5.008727, 5.474238, 5.83572 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.24, "volume": 18046940, "typical_volume": 18661887.4, "trend": 6.211, "fair_value": 6.519842, "relative_strength": -18.892937, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.019069, "energy": 55.777747, "activity_lines": [ 4.981333, 5.020909, 5.416762, 5.769634 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }