{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ed8e2013-ea85-4013-ae62-af32e80b4c58", "symbol": "000547", "name": "Addsino Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.596, "architecture_energy": 83.853, "architecture_maturity": 34.0, "architecture_confidence": 91.492, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 4.89, "rotation_up": 12.77, "upward_expansion": 20.44, "deceleration": 37.96, "rotation_down": 75.44, "downward_expansion": 96.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 14.897333, 16.283273, 19.053333, 21.398731 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 15.98, "trend_reference": 24.54, "distance_from_trend": -0.348818, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 11.515385, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.387709, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.961251, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.438904, "excess_performance": -0.446304, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.348818, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00387, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.387709, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.175704, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.189613, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.607456, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.438904, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.424683, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 350841938, "relative_activity": 0.658076, "balance": 0.424683, "dry_up": 0.797043, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.165543, "annualized_volatility": 0.615774, "from_high_reference": -0.606888, "from_low_reference": 1.16825 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 24.54, "fair_value_reference": 11.515385, "structural_low": 12.23, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": -0.011039, "positive_rate": 0.433333, "directional_follow_through": 0.566667, "median_excess_return": -0.001793, "regime_survival": 0.8, "best_return": 0.327796, "worst_return": -0.266702, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.022891, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.031821, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.353301, "worst_return": -0.366555, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.046557, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.029598, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.151515, "worst_return": -0.380088, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"typical_volume": 620756354.0, "trend": 25.574, "fair_value": 11.446026, "relative_strength": -26.426196, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.509179, "energy": 87.701809, "activity_lines": [ 15.716, 17.49, 20.464571, 22.723355 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.17, "volume": 295809422, "typical_volume": 562941256.75, "trend": 25.107667, "fair_value": 11.473013, "relative_strength": -23.862605, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.211986, "energy": 87.388021, "activity_lines": [ 14.848667, 16.635454, 19.632619, 21.987613 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.98, "volume": 350841938, "typical_volume": 533132769.85, "trend": 24.54, "fair_value": 11.515385, "relative_strength": -18.961251, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.595538, "energy": 83.853453, "activity_lines": [ 14.897333, 16.283273, 19.053333, 21.398731 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }