{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "edac7c37-3f3f-4807-a419-c661d364dc9c",
    "symbol": "PSMD",
    "name": "PACER SWAN SOS MODERATE (JANUARY) ETF",
    "exchange": "CBOE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 53.405,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 89.332,
    "architecture_energy": 82.239,
    "architecture_maturity": 42.741,
    "architecture_confidence": 80.712,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 6.79,
        "rotation_up": 67.28,
        "upward_expansion": 91.96,
        "deceleration": 47.48,
        "rotation_down": 25.41,
        "downward_expansion": 16.29
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        34.593253,
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        34.19315,
        33.804764
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 34.9179,
    "trend_reference": 33.357657,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.046773,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 29.367605,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.188994,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.863158,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.069133,
    "excess_performance": -0.056491,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046773,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021097,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.188994,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000625,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.048632,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.000713,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.069133,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.817318,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 302,
      "relative_activity": 0.041791,
      "balance": 1.817318,
      "dry_up": 0.253754,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.008188,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.067458,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.132228
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 29.367605,
      "structural_low": 30.84,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 42,
        "median_return": 0.010451,
        "positive_rate": 0.714286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.714286,
        "median_excess_return": -0.006099,
        "regime_survival": 0.880952,
        "best_return": 0.038951,
        "worst_return": -0.037822,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.928571,
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": 0.007497,
        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "relative_strength": -3.677131,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": -3.935264,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "relative_strength": -4.067773,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "fair_value": 28.986414,
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        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 57.907326,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 11711.05,
        "trend": 33.020493,
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        "relative_strength": -3.584263,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 10537.2,
        "trend": 33.093493,
        "fair_value": 29.113933,
        "relative_strength": -4.235614,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 80.022905,
        "energy": 81.083457,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 3452,
        "typical_volume": 7548.65,
        "trend": 33.158383,
        "fair_value": 29.176149,
        "relative_strength": -2.971114,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.930163,
        "energy": 83.149551,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.322707,
          34.23204,
          33.889921,
          33.540368
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 34.3181,
        "volume": 2129,
        "typical_volume": 7577.2,
        "trend": 33.21932,
        "fair_value": 29.237384,
        "relative_strength": -2.447196,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.798281,
        "energy": 82.112281,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.340487,
          34.259229,
          33.975632,
          33.615189
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 34.5279,
        "volume": 1452,
        "typical_volume": 7466.55,
        "trend": 33.28806,
        "fair_value": 29.30134,
        "relative_strength": -2.777663,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.49345,
        "energy": 81.639665,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.423133,
          34.317389,
          34.071695,
          33.699613
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 34.9179,
        "volume": 302,
        "typical_volume": 7226.5,
        "trend": 33.357657,
        "fair_value": 29.367605,
        "relative_strength": -4.863158,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.332146,
        "energy": 82.239251,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.593253,
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          34.19315,
          33.804764
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}