{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "edacfd87-765d-4998-a48d-5fe728446c75",
    "symbol": "LTH",
    "name": "Linz Textil Holding AG",
    "exchange": "VIE",
    "country": "AT",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^ATX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -79.008,
    "architecture_energy": 60.032,
    "architecture_maturity": 55.633,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.666,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.91,
        "rotation_up": 19.16,
        "upward_expansion": 8.03,
        "deceleration": 55.61,
        "rotation_down": 68.33,
        "downward_expansion": 83.7
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        166.866667,
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        170.063835,
        174.879163
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 163.0,
    "trend_reference": 185.902522,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.123196,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 200.502598,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.187043,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -37.059059,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.288025,
    "excess_performance": -0.462271,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.123196,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.099867,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.187043,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.020372,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.370591,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021149,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.288025,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.130872,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 2,
      "relative_activity": 0.058565,
      "balance": 0.130872,
      "dry_up": 0.819912,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.033374,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.31531,
      "from_high_reference": -0.359222,
      "from_low_reference": 0.110681
    },
    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 200.502598,
      "structural_low": 146.75676,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 35,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.371429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.428571,
        "median_excess_return": -0.009813,
        "regime_survival": 0.885714,
        "best_return": 0.11324,
        "worst_return": -0.173913,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.264957,
        "sufficient": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 171.216217,
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        "typical_volume": 23.4,
        "trend": 214.917114,
        "fair_value": 202.029195,
        "relative_strength": -37.969921,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.0969,
        "energy": 68.005666,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "trend": 212.699457,
        "fair_value": 201.938228,
        "relative_strength": -39.173978,
        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 67.690322,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "trend": 210.481799,
        "fair_value": 201.847261,
        "relative_strength": -38.114714,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -68.168111,
        "energy": 65.685418,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 5,
        "typical_volume": 28.95,
        "trend": 208.688106,
        "fair_value": 201.837825,
        "relative_strength": -33.945568,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -52.748264,
        "energy": 55.115699,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 170.0,
        "volume": 220,
        "typical_volume": 39.95,
        "trend": 206.527745,
        "fair_value": 201.719436,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
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        "direction": -53.962608,
        "energy": 50.853708,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 166.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 39.95,
        "trend": 204.234052,
        "fair_value": 201.575406,
        "relative_strength": -38.664735,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -65.074959,
        "energy": 58.439677,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 170.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 39.95,
        "trend": 202.073692,
        "fair_value": 201.457017,
        "relative_strength": -37.980203,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -67.200657,
        "energy": 69.823219,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 180.0,
        "volume": 0,
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        "trend": 200.246665,
        "fair_value": 201.402731,
        "relative_strength": -36.036386,
        "stage": 4,
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        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 55.989157,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 39.25,
        "trend": 198.318196,
        "fair_value": 201.316393,
        "relative_strength": -35.638911,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -49.126461,
        "energy": 46.330145,
        "activity_lines": [
          173.8,
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          184.556466
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 170.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 39.25,
        "trend": 196.223061,
        "fair_value": 201.198004,
        "relative_strength": -37.970583,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.716362,
        "energy": 48.992452,
        "activity_lines": [
          173.066667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 170.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 39.15,
        "trend": 194.127926,
        "fair_value": 201.068633,
        "relative_strength": -36.299634,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.094823,
        "energy": 44.991226,
        "activity_lines": [
          172.333333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 170.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 38.9,
        "trend": 192.163242,
        "fair_value": 200.939261,
        "relative_strength": -34.176005,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.203564,
        "energy": 53.26052,
        "activity_lines": [
          171.333333,
          171.805111,
          171.943424,
          179.481034
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 166.0,
        "volume": 76,
        "typical_volume": 39.6,
        "trend": 190.065224,
        "fair_value": 200.784248,
        "relative_strength": -35.720121,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -75.698725,
        "energy": 61.329713,
        "activity_lines": [
          169.0,
          170.709091,
          171.165715,
          177.793083
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 170.0,
        "volume": 34,
        "typical_volume": 34.7,
        "trend": 188.10054,
        "fair_value": 200.665859,
        "relative_strength": -33.276086,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -60.21691,
        "energy": 50.943432,
        "activity_lines": [
          168.933333,
          170.381818,
          170.91027,
          176.498553
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 163.0,
        "volume": 2,
        "typical_volume": 34.15,
        "trend": 185.902522,
        "fair_value": 200.502598,
        "relative_strength": -37.059059,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -79.007893,
        "energy": 60.032208,
        "activity_lines": [
          166.866667,
          168.981818,
          170.063835,
          174.879163
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}