{ "ticker": { "uuid": "eddbb4f3-5eb1-4217-bc12-b50e7eec7eb2", "symbol": "300670", "name": "Jiangsu Daybright Intelligent Electric Co.,LTD.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -56.72, "architecture_energy": 61.234, "architecture_maturity": 20.998, "architecture_confidence": 90.853, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.25, "rotation_up": 13.48, "upward_expansion": 15.45, "deceleration": 35.39, "rotation_down": 64.25, "downward_expansion": 84.11 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.714667, 5.932364, 6.259571, 6.412086 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 6.03, "trend_reference": 6.608, "distance_from_trend": -0.08747, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.650705, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.093329, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.999823, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.097305, "excess_performance": -0.104705, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.08747, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.094588, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.093329, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.174808, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.199998, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014937, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.097305, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.262058, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 34899800, "relative_activity": 0.848729, "balance": 0.262058, "dry_up": 1.026182, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 7 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.126802, "annualized_volatility": 0.495411, "from_high_reference": -0.377066, "from_low_reference": 0.230612 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.608, "fair_value_reference": 6.650705, "structural_low": 4.9, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 20, "median_return": 0.014222, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.007059, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.294004, "worst_return": -0.175079, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.055573, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.058168, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.358824, "worst_return": -0.123021, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.149211, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.051644, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.633929, "worst_return": -0.183811, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"blue", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.051037, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-04-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.159701, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-25", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0875, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.253659, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.011921, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.217822, 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46101950, "typical_volume": 45667670.8, "trend": 6.813667, "fair_value": 6.702372, "relative_strength": -25.001206, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.020427, "energy": 38.049615, "activity_lines": [ 6.173333, 6.333455, 6.516762, 6.62772 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 5.23, "volume": 51067385, "typical_volume": 43637467.3, "trend": 6.724667, "fair_value": 6.681795, "relative_strength": -29.103145, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.995917, "energy": 51.661267, "activity_lines": [ 5.85, 6.098364, 6.384952, 6.525548 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.58, "volume": 36717590, "typical_volume": 41993734.55, "trend": 6.644, "fair_value": 6.66109, "relative_strength": -22.623659, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.907826, "energy": 64.702679, "activity_lines": [ 5.682, 5.961273, 6.297, 6.451699 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.03, "volume": 34899800, "typical_volume": 41120076.25, "trend": 6.608, "fair_value": 6.650705, "relative_strength": -19.999823, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -56.719841, "energy": 61.233725, "activity_lines": [ 5.714667, 5.932364, 6.259571, 6.412086 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }