{ "ticker": { "uuid": "edefad87-85aa-42e3-8ed6-f849589ec28a", "symbol": "DLPN", "name": "Dolphin Entertainment Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.693, "architecture_energy": 43.571, "architecture_maturity": 61.643, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.64, "rotation_up": 25.1, "upward_expansion": 6.22, "deceleration": 55.55, "rotation_down": 52.41, "downward_expansion": 81.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 1.068, 1.082495, 1.159334, 1.249351 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 1.1, "trend_reference": 1.368727, "distance_from_trend": -0.196333, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 1.780204, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.382093, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -32.013367, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.308176, "excess_performance": -0.49563, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.196333, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.106672, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.382093, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.091556, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.320134, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.168787, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.308176, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.423311, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 115925, "relative_activity": 0.964214, "balance": 0.423311, "dry_up": 0.587732, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.144517, "annualized_volatility": 0.35661, "from_high_reference": -0.414862, "from_low_reference": 0.111111 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.368727, "fair_value_reference": 1.780204, "structural_low": 1.02, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 41, "median_return": -0.075772, "positive_rate": 0.365854, "directional_follow_through": 0.634146, "median_excess_return": -0.053917, "regime_survival": 0.926829, "best_return": 0.364985, "worst_return": -0.290196, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.163127, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.249154, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.072727, "worst_return": -0.448956, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.226744, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.409744, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.090909, "worst_return": -0.489474, "sufficient": true }, { 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false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2022-09-02", "end": "2022-09-30", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.361446, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2022-10-07", "end": "2023-05-12", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.227794, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2023-05-19", "end": "2023-09-01", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.146919, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2023-09-08", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.68314, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.137778, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": 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"trend": 1.42806, "fair_value": 1.854114, "relative_strength": -35.343506, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.340679, "energy": 51.366858, "activity_lines": [ 1.104693, 1.138262, 1.253226, 1.337237 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 1.08, "volume": 85167, "typical_volume": 121050.1, "trend": 1.414393, "fair_value": 1.834242, "relative_strength": -31.585122, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.590429, "energy": 48.198287, "activity_lines": [ 1.09424, 1.118502, 1.226979, 1.314782 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 1.07, "volume": 36865, "typical_volume": 117571.6, "trend": 1.40406, "fair_value": 1.814947, "relative_strength": -30.702324, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.826549, "energy": 48.75827, "activity_lines": [ 1.083787, 1.103287, 1.202447, 1.292563 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 1.02, "volume": 44689, "typical_volume": 117510.35, "trend": 1.385727, "fair_value": 1.796229, "relative_strength": -33.993893, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.239098, "energy": 51.42423, "activity_lines": [ 1.058667, 1.083709, 1.175819, 1.267785 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 1.1, "volume": 115925, "typical_volume": 120227.45, "trend": 1.368727, "fair_value": 1.780204, "relative_strength": -32.013367, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.693436, "energy": 43.571113, "activity_lines": [ 1.068, 1.082495, 1.159334, 1.249351 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }