{ "ticker": { "uuid": "edff27e2-928a-4980-a46e-c6f0d111f450", "symbol": "3535", "name": "Favite, Inc.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 72.606, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.81, "architecture_energy": 78.254, "architecture_maturity": 17.196, "architecture_confidence": 80.433, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.65, "rotation_up": 9.16, "upward_expansion": 18.53, "deceleration": 37.19, "rotation_down": 76.89, "downward_expansion": 94.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 86.533332, 94.20909, 106.309523, 110.831827 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 92.0, "trend_reference": 113.573333, "distance_from_trend": -0.189951, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 58.692605, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.567489, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -31.95344, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.140187, "excess_performance": -0.581559, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.189951, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.055089, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.567489, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.822802, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.319534, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.34941, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.140187, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.786427, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3489022, "relative_activity": 0.179881, "balance": 1.786427, "dry_up": 0.242588, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.160368, "annualized_volatility": 0.798513, "from_high_reference": -0.390728, "from_low_reference": 0.706663 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 113.573333, "fair_value_reference": 58.692605, "structural_low": 68.699997, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.011765, "positive_rate": 0.478261, "directional_follow_through": 0.521739, "median_excess_return": -0.018633, "regime_survival": 0.869565, "best_return": 0.584447, "worst_return": -0.176915, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.027145, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.047557, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.465426, "worst_return": -0.262745, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.012309, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.069592, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.080392, "worst_return": -0.053917, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": 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"relative_strength": -40.094922, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -56.856911, "energy": 76.432742, "activity_lines": [ 88.966665, 101.363635, 111.35238, 114.087741 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 85.199997, "volume": 4250853, "typical_volume": 19923566.9, "trend": 113.656666, "fair_value": 58.220375, "relative_strength": -35.049415, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.713293, "energy": 83.175701, "activity_lines": [ 85.573331, 96.829089, 108.414761, 112.229032 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 92.0, "volume": 3489022, "typical_volume": 19396331.1, "trend": 113.573333, "fair_value": 58.692605, "relative_strength": -31.95344, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.810303, "energy": 78.254057, "activity_lines": [ 86.533332, 94.20909, 106.309523, 110.831827 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }