{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ee073439-3597-4e99-b331-4f0e7a05a52c", "symbol": "WOSC", "name": "State Street SPDR MSCI World Small Cap UCITS ETF", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 57.014, "architecture_energy": 34.138, "architecture_maturity": 64.191, "architecture_confidence": 90.189, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 29.36, "rotation_up": 34.53, "upward_expansion": 59.91, "deceleration": 88.25, "rotation_down": 27.51, "downward_expansion": 21.24 }, "activity_lines": [ 109.658002, 110.031547, 108.900548, 107.079032 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 111.75, "trend_reference": 104.940833, "distance_from_trend": 0.064886, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 86.757692, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.28807, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.180156, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.101745, "excess_performance": 0.05051, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.064886, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.049422, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.28807, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020865, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.031802, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.035919, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.101745, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.163956, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7343, "relative_activity": 0.714182, "balance": 2.163956, "dry_up": 1.603966, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.023099, "annualized_volatility": 0.134493, "from_high_reference": -0.006578, "from_low_reference": 0.286257 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 104.940833, "fair_value_reference": 86.757692, "structural_low": 93.959999, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.001167, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.011643, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.036844, "worst_return": -0.017546, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.012367, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.007643, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.00525, "worst_return": -0.156907, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.003454, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.006546, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.038726, "worst_return": -0.016863, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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"typical_volume": 11957.7, "trend": 104.135333, "fair_value": 86.30343, "relative_strength": 3.083289, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.624936, "energy": 41.489864, "activity_lines": [ 109.793336, 110.069365, 108.190786, 106.389097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 107.620003, "volume": 5694, "typical_volume": 10305.85, "trend": 104.540667, "fair_value": 86.514199, "relative_strength": -0.203718, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.152149, "energy": 25.405192, "activity_lines": [ 108.884336, 109.680729, 108.371548, 106.613914 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 111.75, "volume": 7343, "typical_volume": 10281.7, "trend": 104.940833, "fair_value": 86.757692, "relative_strength": 3.180156, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 57.014181, "energy": 34.137577, "activity_lines": [ 109.658002, 110.031547, 108.900548, 107.079032 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }