{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ee1f03ad-8e72-440f-ae38-030677ad711c",
    "symbol": "688279",
    "name": "Fortior Technology (Shenzhen) Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -22.664,
    "architecture_energy": 45.516,
    "architecture_maturity": 12.457,
    "architecture_confidence": 86.82,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 32.68,
        "rotation_up": 19.48,
        "upward_expansion": 26.37,
        "deceleration": 48.65,
        "rotation_down": 67.87,
        "downward_expansion": 49.04
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        171.18,
        188.129819,
        198.485276,
        196.037385
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 170.0,
    "trend_reference": 195.561254,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.130707,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 162.22469,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.047929,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -13.425765,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.162891,
    "excess_performance": -0.119688,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.130707,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019923,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.047929,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.348413,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.134258,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.127336,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.162891,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.695074,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 10819776,
      "relative_activity": 1.318143,
      "balance": 0.695074,
      "dry_up": 1.34747,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.169161,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.666626,
      "from_high_reference": -0.437086,
      "from_low_reference": 0.184925
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 195.561254,
      "fair_value_reference": 162.22469,
      "structural_low": 143.469014,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.032193,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.06971,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": -0.021352,
        "worst_return": -0.043034,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.090764,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.055402,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.090764,
        "worst_return": 0.090764,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": -0.00774,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.159458,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.00774,
        "worst_return": -0.00774,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.079412,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.131866,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.079412,
        "worst_return": 0.079412,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.118491,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.048813,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-08-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.121591,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-08-29",
        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.187016,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-09-26",
        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.159948,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-10-24",
        "end": "2025-11-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.028701,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-14",
        "end": "2026-01-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.227953,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-01-23",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.074885,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-02-27",
        "end": "2026-03-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.115751,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-03-13",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.273779,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-05-15",
        "end": "2026-05-22",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.066135,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-29",
        "end": "2026-06-19",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.032155,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-06-26",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.220117,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
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      },
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        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 7573215.65,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "fair_value": 157.433689,
        "relative_strength": 3.345951,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 6849198.15,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 6477834.75,
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        "relative_strength": -1.918824,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 33.390671,
        "energy": 21.593375,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 6433997.7,
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        "fair_value": 160.454838,
        "relative_strength": 18.070319,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 13951797,
        "typical_volume": 6890133.7,
        "trend": 198.479921,
        "fair_value": 161.109437,
        "relative_strength": 12.751999,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.685043,
        "energy": 34.7094,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 188.570007,
        "volume": 11609895,
        "typical_volume": 7295832.0,
        "trend": 198.355588,
        "fair_value": 161.479443,
        "relative_strength": -0.900648,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 22.930363,
        "energy": 14.809802,
        "activity_lines": [
          212.479336,
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          208.117385,
          202.731607
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 163.369995,
        "volume": 12237339,
        "typical_volume": 7655255.9,
        "trend": 197.707254,
        "fair_value": 161.681556,
        "relative_strength": -14.794785,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -25.715016,
        "energy": 15.473318,
        "activity_lines": [
          195.826,
          203.989774,
          204.899158,
          200.474472
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 155.610001,
        "volume": 9575009,
        "typical_volume": 7920021.3,
        "trend": 196.677587,
        "fair_value": 161.891116,
        "relative_strength": -18.771015,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -34.280086,
        "energy": 38.670612,
        "activity_lines": [
          179.640667,
          193.900183,
          200.976598,
          197.75852
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 170.0,
        "volume": 10819776,
        "typical_volume": 8208346.8,
        "trend": 195.561254,
        "fair_value": 162.22469,
        "relative_strength": -13.425765,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -22.664237,
        "energy": 45.5163,
        "activity_lines": [
          171.18,
          188.129819,
          198.485276,
          196.037385
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}