{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ee1fca97-1c54-46ce-8002-ba3fab622522", "symbol": "603797", "name": "Guangdong Liantai Environmental Protection Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -48.833, "architecture_energy": 40.827, "architecture_maturity": 67.632, "architecture_confidence": 60.338, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.05, "rotation_up": 25.16, "upward_expansion": 17.53, "deceleration": 66.88, "rotation_down": 44.17, "downward_expansion": 67.53 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.961333, 3.949818, 4.15781, 4.332731 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 4.17, "trend_reference": 4.554, "distance_from_trend": -0.084321, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.406565, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.053685, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.00631, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.166, "excess_performance": -0.122796, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.084321, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054925, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.053685, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.143358, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.090063, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.052034, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.166, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.55262, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 44653770, "relative_activity": 1.792473, "balance": 0.55262, "dry_up": 1.324021, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.071205, "annualized_volatility": 0.296209, "from_high_reference": -0.202677, "from_low_reference": 0.151934 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.554, "fair_value_reference": 4.406565, "structural_low": 3.62, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.01426, "positive_rate": 0.592593, "directional_follow_through": 0.407407, "median_excess_return": 0.015329, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": 0.157556, "worst_return": -0.161731, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.002259, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.014741, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.271342, "worst_return": -0.198044, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.007548, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.012228, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.234756, "worst_return": -0.261261, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.948331, "energy": 64.140924, "activity_lines": [ 3.843333, 3.946727, 4.221619, 4.401806 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.93, "volume": 24938244, "typical_volume": 24732099.45, "trend": 4.570667, "fair_value": 4.415369, "relative_strength": -12.175705, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.423228, "energy": 56.69192, "activity_lines": [ 3.866667, 3.919455, 4.175429, 4.358581 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 4.17, "volume": 44653770, "typical_volume": 24911824.75, "trend": 4.554, "fair_value": 4.406565, "relative_strength": -9.00631, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.832929, "energy": 40.82698, "activity_lines": [ 3.961333, 3.949818, 4.15781, 4.332731 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }