{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ee2a86af-6c59-4c29-981d-9585fdb4b229",
    "symbol": "SPMV",
    "name": "iShares Edge S&P 500 Minimum Volatility UCITS ETF USD (Acc)",
    "exchange": "LSE",
    "country": "GB",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FTSE",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 70.742,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 86.081,
    "architecture_energy": 65.412,
    "architecture_maturity": 32.193,
    "architecture_confidence": 75.989,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 11.9,
        "rotation_up": 61.96,
        "upward_expansion": 81.08,
        "deceleration": 59.35,
        "rotation_down": 21.46,
        "downward_expansion": 10.08
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        113.172643,
        111.822656
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 117.550003,
    "trend_reference": 110.479334,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.064,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 97.851737,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.201307,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.518623,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.071705,
    "excess_performance": 0.02047,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.064,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018866,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.201307,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.040293,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.005186,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018051,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.071705,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.091113,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 28982,
      "relative_activity": 0.227936,
      "balance": 1.091113,
      "dry_up": 0.960386,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.015385,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.091341,
      "from_high_reference": -0.004235,
      "from_low_reference": 0.144707
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 110.479334,
      "fair_value_reference": 97.851737,
      "structural_low": 102.690002,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 41,
        "median_return": 0.006655,
        "positive_rate": 0.609756,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.609756,
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        "worst_return": -0.090808,
        "sufficient": true
      },
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        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "sufficient": true
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "typical_volume": 113325.0,
        "trend": 107.608364,
        "fair_value": 94.515583,
        "relative_strength": -5.762141,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "fair_value": 94.721352,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 113470.6,
        "trend": 107.835197,
        "fair_value": 94.92991,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 115446.3,
        "trend": 108.015197,
        "fair_value": 95.143243,
        "relative_strength": -1.127918,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 60.347031,
        "activity_lines": [
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          108.231379
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "volume": 255606,
        "typical_volume": 127689.7,
        "trend": 108.202,
        "fair_value": 95.381961,
        "relative_strength": -1.801124,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 80.390421,
        "energy": 75.825633,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 113.550003,
        "volume": 42910,
        "typical_volume": 128167.6,
        "trend": 108.433667,
        "fair_value": 95.61632,
        "relative_strength": -0.730899,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 78.693023,
        "energy": 79.912531,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 89526,
        "typical_volume": 127882.55,
        "trend": 108.709334,
        "fair_value": 95.848307,
        "relative_strength": -0.367472,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 81.463867,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 112.809998,
        "volume": 81705,
        "typical_volume": 127985.45,
        "trend": 108.899667,
        "fair_value": 96.062025,
        "relative_strength": -1.720926,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "energy": 78.52061,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "trend": 109.283667,
        "fair_value": 96.492538,
        "relative_strength": -1.985499,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.16211,
        "energy": 59.885194,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 114.360001,
        "volume": 183559,
        "typical_volume": 131760.0,
        "trend": 109.489333,
        "fair_value": 96.722281,
        "relative_strength": -1.837437,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 75.465967,
        "energy": 57.938317,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 114.639999,
        "volume": 30876,
        "typical_volume": 129780.85,
        "trend": 109.712333,
        "fair_value": 96.94914,
        "relative_strength": 0.210798,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.484511,
        "energy": 68.785841,
        "activity_lines": [
          113.709333,
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          111.4905,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 113.900002,
        "volume": 59772,
        "typical_volume": 129463.25,
        "trend": 109.889334,
        "fair_value": 97.163179,
        "relative_strength": -1.275573,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.446425,
        "energy": 71.800091,
        "activity_lines": [
          113.901334,
          113.499273,
          111.863071,
          110.853086
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 113.68,
        "volume": 363281,
        "typical_volume": 138153.65,
        "trend": 110.029,
        "fair_value": 97.377538,
        "relative_strength": -2.557039,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.373714,
        "energy": 69.274038,
        "activity_lines": [
          113.947334,
          113.595091,
          112.196881,
          111.097645
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 113.940002,
        "volume": 36416,
        "typical_volume": 132540.05,
        "trend": 110.223334,
        "fair_value": 97.601672,
        "relative_strength": -3.381542,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.779565,
        "energy": 55.545244,
        "activity_lines": [
          113.984001,
          113.689637,
          112.529714,
          111.349968
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 117.550003,
        "volume": 28982,
        "typical_volume": 127149.65,
        "trend": 110.479334,
        "fair_value": 97.851737,
        "relative_strength": -0.518623,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.080734,
        "energy": 65.411781,
        "activity_lines": [
          115.132668,
          114.424546,
          113.172643,
          111.822656
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}