{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ee2f0f15-e341-4df8-b817-ffe7a08f8d99", "symbol": "PYF", "name": "Purpose Premium Yield Fund Series ETF", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 84.069, "architecture_energy": 84.221, "architecture_maturity": 19.748, "architecture_confidence": 64.881, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.14, "rotation_up": 80.3, "upward_expansion": 94.32, "deceleration": 41.94, "rotation_down": 9.58, "downward_expansion": 18.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.66352, 16.590023, 16.519519, 16.46803 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 16.77, "trend_reference": 16.411482, "distance_from_trend": 0.021846, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.57047, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.077039, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -9.317905, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.034645, "excess_performance": -0.085776, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.021846, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.00372, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.077039, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.010926, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.093179, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.020557, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.034645, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 18.02332, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 38600, "relative_activity": 0.424316, "balance": 18.02332, "dry_up": 0.49247, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.007115, "annualized_volatility": 0.024943, "from_high_reference": -0.000596, "from_low_reference": 0.041878 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 16.411482, "fair_value_reference": 15.57047, "structural_low": 16.164423, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 47, "median_return": 0.00289, "positive_rate": 0.702128, "directional_follow_through": 0.702128, "median_excess_return": -0.009268, "regime_survival": 0.829787, "best_return": 0.027544, "worst_return": -0.014447, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": 0.017418, "positive_rate": 0.6875, "directional_follow_through": 0.6875, "median_excess_return": -0.008399, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.039421, "worst_return": -0.022658, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.029383, "positive_rate": 0.888889, "directional_follow_through": 0.888889, "median_excess_return": -0.022453, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.060777, "worst_return": -0.005647, 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16.384055, "fair_value": 15.517948, "relative_strength": -9.180711, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.107386, "energy": 33.295573, "activity_lines": [ 16.496779, 16.486239, 16.44401, 16.41166 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 16.600269, "volume": 47400, "typical_volume": 91625.0, "trend": 16.391399, "fair_value": 15.534888, "relative_strength": -8.542678, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.833562, "energy": 55.959292, "activity_lines": [ 16.536614, 16.510005, 16.462652, 16.425609 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.68, "volume": 60900, "typical_volume": 91315.0, "trend": 16.401076, "fair_value": 15.55239, "relative_strength": -7.285058, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 77.365966, "energy": 74.462237, "activity_lines": [ 16.593692, 16.544101, 16.487747, 16.444229 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 16.77, "volume": 38600, "typical_volume": 90970.0, "trend": 16.411482, "fair_value": 15.57047, "relative_strength": -9.317905, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 84.068972, "energy": 84.220534, "activity_lines": [ 16.66352, 16.590023, 16.519519, 16.46803 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }