{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ee308401-5fb6-4443-b4c0-8823c1aba90f", "symbol": "Y03", "name": "Yeo Hiap Seng Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 77.154, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -67.234, "architecture_energy": 54.603, "architecture_maturity": 4.705, "architecture_confidence": 86.341, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.32, "rotation_up": 12.21, "upward_expansion": 9.27, "deceleration": 42.5, "rotation_down": 65.92, "downward_expansion": 82.6 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.575333, 0.578909, 0.587275, 0.588746 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 0.57, "trend_reference": 0.589948, "distance_from_trend": -0.033813, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.554783, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.027429, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.850168, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.035672, "excess_performance": -0.190507, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.033813, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.002355, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.027429, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.099011, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.188502, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.162756, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.035672, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.18709, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 117800, "relative_activity": 1.218579, "balance": 0.18709, "dry_up": 1.573653, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.026316, "annualized_volatility": 0.128, "from_high_reference": -0.095238, "from_low_reference": 0.017857 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.589948, "fair_value_reference": 0.554783, "structural_low": 0.56, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 27, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.444444, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.003812, "regime_survival": 0.740741, "best_return": 0.094338, "worst_return": -0.110345, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.003704, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.026248, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.178066, "worst_return": -0.14557, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.022989, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.071651, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.149792, "worst_return": -0.187521, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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0.591461 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.58, "volume": 54900, "typical_volume": 94825.0, "trend": 0.590697, "fair_value": 0.555165, "relative_strength": -16.805623, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -33.22889, "energy": 52.953653, "activity_lines": [ 0.577333, 0.584, 0.59036, 0.590758 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.58, "volume": 29300, "typical_volume": 93080.0, "trend": 0.59049, "fair_value": 0.554948, "relative_strength": -16.896392, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.627864, "energy": 52.863076, "activity_lines": [ 0.578, 0.582182, 0.58929, 0.590068 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.57, "volume": 117800, "typical_volume": 96670.0, "trend": 0.589948, "fair_value": 0.554783, "relative_strength": -18.850168, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.234269, "energy": 54.602666, "activity_lines": [ 0.575333, 0.578909, 0.587275, 0.588746 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }