{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ee330808-54ec-491d-96af-edf19cf33cf1", "symbol": "D2PZ34", "name": "Domino's Pizza, Inc.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4c", "phase_label": "Stage 4C \u00b7 Repair watch", "transition": "stage_4_to_1_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 4 \u2192 1 repair watch", "confidence": 76.765, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": 28.27, "architecture_energy": 42.346, "architecture_maturity": 34.73, "architecture_confidence": 45.856, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 38.08, "rotation_up": 54.26, "upward_expansion": 37.53, "deceleration": 47.25, "rotation_down": 14.0, "downward_expansion": 45.86 }, "activity_lines": [ 35.222, 33.780183, 33.277556, 34.427803 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 37.599998, "trend_reference": 36.359253, "distance_from_trend": 0.034125, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 44.77716, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.160286, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -11.606246, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.085706, "excess_performance": -0.028657, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.034125, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.099897, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.160286, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.093359, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.116062, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.265777, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.085706, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.259347, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 80, "relative_activity": 0.014438, "balance": 0.259347, "dry_up": 0.195277, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.038323, "annualized_volatility": 0.308526, "from_high_reference": -0.257448, "from_low_reference": 0.259928 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 36.359253, "fair_value_reference": 44.77716, "structural_low": 29.842979, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.002773, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.000346, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.127409, "worst_return": -0.035513, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.008838, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.067581, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.141299, "worst_return": 0.000478, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.128507, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.063691, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.223565, "worst_return": 0.033448, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 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"orange", "start": "2024-08-23", "end": "2024-09-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.029632, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2024-11-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0397, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-11-08", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.024926, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-02-14", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.115751, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.050377, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-06-20", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.045958, 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.284828, "energy": 36.045008, "activity_lines": [ 32.415334, 32.126879, 32.775713, 34.434043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 35.790001, "volume": 18, "typical_volume": 5545.8, "trend": 36.571405, "fair_value": 44.777667, "relative_strength": -19.290091, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -6.761845, "energy": 21.087088, "activity_lines": [ 33.706001, 32.827027, 32.927397, 34.361443 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 37.599998, "volume": 80, "typical_volume": 5540.85, "trend": 36.359253, "fair_value": 44.77716, "relative_strength": -11.606246, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Structural repair", "gate": "down", "direction": 28.270193, "energy": 42.346087, "activity_lines": [ 35.222, 33.780183, 33.277556, 34.427803 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }