{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ee363a2f-b96a-47a6-ab4e-427e482f54dc", "symbol": "SIL", "name": "Standard Industries Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 89.185, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 68.481, "architecture_energy": 58.926, "architecture_maturity": 17.447, "architecture_confidence": 91.495, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.03, "rotation_up": 64.2, "upward_expansion": 87.62, "deceleration": 43.96, "rotation_down": 15.67, "downward_expansion": 11.96 }, "activity_lines": [ 16.602667, 16.288364, 16.015762, 15.666783 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 17.09, "trend_reference": 15.28504, "distance_from_trend": 0.118087, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 20.539125, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.16793, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 7.065058, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.125037, "excess_performance": 0.168746, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.118087, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.003272, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.16793, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.06118, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.070651, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.067745, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.125037, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.526993, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 120340, "relative_activity": 1.323789, "balance": 1.526993, "dry_up": 1.197983, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.062745, "annualized_volatility": 0.396123, "from_high_reference": -0.116967, "from_low_reference": 0.460684 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.28504, "fair_value_reference": 20.539125, "structural_low": 11.7, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.022168, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": -0.047254, "regime_survival": 0.583333, "best_return": 0.443645, "worst_return": -0.207641, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.027618, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.077605, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.120492, "worst_return": -0.102939, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.029685, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.028961, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.500895, "worst_return": -0.280288, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 52.35409, "energy": 36.77353, "activity_lines": [ 16.06, 15.926364, 15.649667, 15.396677 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 15.89, "volume": 64027, "typical_volume": 101951.7, "trend": 15.180053, "fair_value": 20.587083, "relative_strength": 2.595988, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 50.314563, "energy": 38.295526, "activity_lines": [ 16.049333, 15.932, 15.716286, 15.443422 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 16.77, "volume": 98938, "typical_volume": 98550.7, "trend": 15.217854, "fair_value": 20.56148, "relative_strength": 5.734778, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.167208, "energy": 50.603807, "activity_lines": [ 16.321333, 16.088, 15.858048, 15.546 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 17.09, "volume": 120340, "typical_volume": 90905.7, "trend": 15.28504, "fair_value": 20.539125, "relative_strength": 7.065058, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.480734, "energy": 58.926432, "activity_lines": [ 16.602667, 16.288364, 16.015762, 15.666783 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }