{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ee3cf79f-ae0c-4fbf-a452-075f5abc316a", "symbol": "ELEF", "name": "Silver Elephant Mining Corp.", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.542, "architecture_energy": 55.524, "architecture_maturity": 98.788, "architecture_confidence": 91.336, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.29, "rotation_up": 28.86, "upward_expansion": 9.52, "deceleration": 60.47, "rotation_down": 48.41, "downward_expansion": 80.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.13, 0.130909, 0.140333, 0.156839 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 0.14, "trend_reference": 0.188333, "distance_from_trend": -0.256637, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.296026, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.527068, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -43.673418, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.5, "excess_performance": -0.620421, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.256637, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.236486, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.527068, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.06951, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.436734, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.077164, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.5, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.20822, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 253300, "relative_activity": 0.748699, "balance": 0.20822, "dry_up": 0.872547, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.10989, "annualized_volatility": 0.648479, "from_high_reference": -0.681818, "from_low_reference": 0.166667 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.188333, "fair_value_reference": 0.296026, "structural_low": 0.12, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 38, "median_return": -0.047009, "positive_rate": 0.421053, "directional_follow_through": 0.552632, "median_excess_return": -0.022044, "regime_survival": 0.842105, "best_return": 0.4, "worst_return": -0.5, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.0, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.001773, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.814815, "worst_return": -0.644172, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.088462, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": 0.02863, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.851852, "worst_return": -0.644172, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 4, 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"Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-11-15", "end": "2024-12-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.104167, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-12-13", "end": "2024-12-27", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.075, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.2, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.4, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.333333, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.030303, "active": 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"typical_volume": 394040.0, "trend": 0.214667, "fair_value": 0.300833, "relative_strength": -43.619463, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.600249, "energy": 62.595282, "activity_lines": [ 0.136, 0.137455, 0.153095, 0.176731 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.12, "volume": 644400, "typical_volume": 397465.0, "trend": 0.208333, "fair_value": 0.299487, "relative_strength": -51.191755, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.261777, "energy": 67.798067, "activity_lines": [ 0.131333, 0.133273, 0.148333, 0.170624 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.13, "volume": 143000, "typical_volume": 386430.0, "trend": 0.201, "fair_value": 0.298205, "relative_strength": -46.914508, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.801592, "energy": 61.025747, "activity_lines": [ 0.130667, 0.131818, 0.14519, 0.16557 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.12, "volume": 140100, "typical_volume": 375755.0, "trend": 0.194333, "fair_value": 0.296859, "relative_strength": -50.50423, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.671152, "energy": 65.746173, "activity_lines": [ 0.126667, 0.129273, 0.141619, 0.160344 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.14, "volume": 253300, "typical_volume": 338320.0, "trend": 0.188333, "fair_value": 0.296026, "relative_strength": -43.673418, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.541553, "energy": 55.523971, "activity_lines": [ 0.13, 0.130909, 0.140333, 0.156839 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }