{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ee3e00ce-e8df-4025-a68c-64d469e2d820", "symbol": "002728", "name": "Teyi Pharmaceutical Group Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -35.311, "architecture_energy": 21.342, "architecture_maturity": 80.142, "architecture_confidence": 71.985, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 43.81, "rotation_up": 26.6, "upward_expansion": 18.88, "deceleration": 46.9, "rotation_down": 26.56, "downward_expansion": 55.21 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.061333, 8.929933, 9.018479, 9.492975 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 9.43, "trend_reference": 10.195475, "distance_from_trend": -0.07508, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.721568, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.029992, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.888052, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.20556, "excess_performance": -0.21296, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.07508, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.099775, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.029992, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.047551, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.118881, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.080303, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.20556, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.601314, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 112154854, "relative_activity": 1.467812, "balance": 0.601314, "dry_up": 1.908171, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.08394, "annualized_volatility": 0.401462, "from_high_reference": -0.380013, "from_low_reference": 0.202806 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.195475, "fair_value_reference": 9.721568, "structural_low": 7.84, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.020968, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": 0.043727, "regime_survival": 0.722222, "best_return": 1.194444, "worst_return": -0.13996, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.066258, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": 0.052459, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 1.119345, "worst_return": -0.241676, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.114249, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.138963, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 1.074883, "worst_return": -0.355148, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-23", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.012911, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.045454, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-09-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.029573, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-09-19", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.252887, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-12-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.010009, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-26", "end": "2026-02-13", "tenure": "Developing", 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"energy": 43.545308, "activity_lines": [ 8.899766, 8.740924, 9.269513, 9.848388 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 9.24, "volume": 250278672, "typical_volume": 71446707.6, "trend": 10.413475, "fair_value": 9.751525, "relative_strength": -11.21491, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.185436, "energy": 27.320243, "activity_lines": [ 9.105333, 8.813754, 9.20954, 9.767303 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 8.47, "volume": 135225873, "typical_volume": 72652219.3, "trend": 10.325809, "fair_value": 9.740315, "relative_strength": -18.553232, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -48.012025, "energy": 31.564284, "activity_lines": [ 8.982, 8.761862, 9.090996, 9.641918 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.83, "volume": 85550437, "typical_volume": 73855436.8, "trend": 10.242809, "fair_value": 9.72847, "relative_strength": -13.499012, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -38.52961, "energy": 22.908685, "activity_lines": [ 8.949333, 8.79114, 9.020642, 9.545414 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.43, "volume": 112154854, "typical_volume": 76409551.0, "trend": 10.195475, "fair_value": 9.721568, "relative_strength": -11.888052, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.310575, "energy": 21.342049, "activity_lines": [ 9.061333, 8.929933, 9.018479, 9.492975 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }