{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ee689db3-6f64-4e39-8fc5-ee265349f959", "symbol": "YFFI", "name": "INDEXPERTS YIELD FOCUSED FIXED INCOME ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 52.305, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Neutral compression", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.174, "architecture_energy": 44.491, "architecture_maturity": 10.537, "architecture_confidence": 93.874, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.69, "rotation_up": 13.21, "upward_expansion": 8.95, "deceleration": 39.81, "rotation_down": 59.96, "downward_expansion": 84.61 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.871705, 9.905311, 9.92774, 9.942283 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 9.9, "trend_reference": 9.966844, "distance_from_trend": -0.006707, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.753298, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.015041, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -11.375469, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.011424, "excess_performance": -0.137048, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.006707, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.00087, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.015041, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012502, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.113755, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.014785, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.011424, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.690979, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6968, "relative_activity": 0.553343, "balance": 0.690979, "dry_up": 0.446216, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.016319, "annualized_volatility": 0.056425, "from_high_reference": -0.030947, "from_low_reference": 0.023412 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.966844, "fair_value_reference": 9.753298, "structural_low": 9.721248, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.00155, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.025804, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.00155, "worst_return": -0.00155, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 0, "median_return": null, "positive_rate": null, "directional_follow_through": null, "median_excess_return": null, "regime_survival": null, "best_return": null, "worst_return": null, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 12737.1, "trend": 9.980135, "fair_value": 9.749485, "relative_strength": -8.53901, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "down", "direction": -44.089234, "energy": 20.130646, "activity_lines": [ 9.943348, 9.950067, 9.952386, 9.965287 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 9.845551, "volume": 1695, "typical_volume": 12574.85, "trend": 9.975142, "fair_value": 9.750656, "relative_strength": -8.412232, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.7807, "energy": 35.48489, "activity_lines": [ 9.903751, 9.93266, 9.942404, 9.956604 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.8232, "volume": 10727, "typical_volume": 12490.1, "trend": 9.970045, "fair_value": 9.75153, "relative_strength": -9.289248, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "down", "direction": -58.327623, "energy": 48.123074, "activity_lines": [ 9.868685, 9.911567, 9.931189, 9.946802 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.9, "volume": 6968, "typical_volume": 12592.55, "trend": 9.966844, "fair_value": 9.753298, "relative_strength": -11.375469, "stage": 3, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Neutral compression", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.174337, "energy": 44.490784, "activity_lines": [ 9.871705, 9.905311, 9.92774, 9.942283 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }