{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ee71654e-9cf3-4346-b6ca-c4bc4253db60", "symbol": "ORIENTLTD", "name": "Orient Press Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 63.615, "architecture_energy": 69.558, "architecture_maturity": 17.355, "architecture_confidence": 75.105, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 13.39, "rotation_up": 73.99, "upward_expansion": 90.95, "deceleration": 42.91, "rotation_down": 9.85, "downward_expansion": 15.28 }, "activity_lines": [ 79.485999, 75.738544, 70.831047, 68.415483 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 77.199997, "trend_reference": 66.156, "distance_from_trend": 0.166939, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 86.329743, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.105754, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 5.997982, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.259586, "excess_performance": 0.303295, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.166939, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.034219, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.105754, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.12336, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.05998, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.184317, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.259586, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.209396, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 22963, "relative_activity": 0.390814, "balance": 0.209396, "dry_up": 4.139658, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.112017, "annualized_volatility": 0.53795, "from_high_reference": -0.245357, "from_low_reference": 0.437081 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 66.156, "fair_value_reference": 86.329743, "structural_low": 53.720001, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": 0.024386, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": 0.012269, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.318244, "worst_return": -0.204868, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.070722, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.00106, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.247235, "worst_return": -0.339841, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.169026, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": 0.115407, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.323065, "worst_return": -0.195332, "sufficient": false }, { 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"direction": 34.887817, "energy": 54.948145, "activity_lines": [ 70.893333, 68.14509, 65.98619, 65.176688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 89.290001, "volume": 121598, "typical_volume": 21494.15, "trend": 65.83, "fair_value": 86.206025, "relative_strength": 26.12474, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "up", "direction": 91.027097, "energy": 82.517451, "activity_lines": [ 77.068, 72.322727, 68.344571, 66.714946 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 80.949997, "volume": 803801, "typical_volume": 60931.5, "trend": 65.961667, "fair_value": 86.275577, "relative_strength": 11.628157, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.025828, "energy": 74.606964, "activity_lines": [ 79.223333, 74.55509, 69.803618, 67.69043 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 77.199997, "volume": 22963, "typical_volume": 58756.85, "trend": 66.156, "fair_value": 86.329743, "relative_strength": 5.997982, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.614533, "energy": 69.557949, "activity_lines": [ 79.485999, 75.738544, 70.831047, 68.415483 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }