{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ee7891df-ed8a-439f-893d-0f8b9f2aec1b", "symbol": "41T", "name": "GCCP Resources Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 24.756, "architecture_energy": 30.599, "architecture_maturity": 43.815, "architecture_confidence": 44.938, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.52, "rotation_up": 32.78, "upward_expansion": 54.8, "deceleration": 58.12, "rotation_down": 36.24, "downward_expansion": 37.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.004533, 0.004618, 0.004748, 0.004632 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.005, "trend_reference": 0.0045, "distance_from_trend": 0.111111, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 0.005212, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.04059, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -3.698814, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.666667, "excess_performance": 0.511832, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.111111, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.062992, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.04059, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.076057, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.036988, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.19796, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.666667, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.12572, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 205300, "relative_activity": 0.062259, "balance": 0.12572, "dry_up": 0.139379, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.092308, "annualized_volatility": 1.126998, "from_high_reference": -0.285714, "from_low_reference": 0.666667 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.0045, "fair_value_reference": 0.005212, "structural_low": 0.003, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.142857, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.153911, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": -0.2, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.214286, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.200454, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.214286, "worst_return": -0.214286, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.214286, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.193995, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.214286, "worst_return": -0.214286, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, "median_return": -0.428571, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.39254, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.428571, "worst_return": -0.428571, "sufficient": false } ], "ledger": [ { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2024-11-22", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.5, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-11-29", "end": "2025-01-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.666667, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-10", "end": "2025-02-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.2, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-02-14", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.25, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.333333, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.2, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-10", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-17", "end": "2026-01-23", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.666667, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-01-30", "end": "2026-02-06", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.4, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-02-13", "end": "2026-04-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.333333, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2026-04-24", "end": "2026-05-29", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.166667, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-06-05", "end": "2026-08-07", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.0, "active": true } ], "chart_path": [ { "date": "2023-08-18", "close": 0.01, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 1085790.0, "trend": 0.0102, "fair_value": 0.014359, "relative_strength": -14.515812, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.782726, "energy": 20.79742, "activity_lines": [ 0.009667, 0.009818, 0.009924, 0.009925 ] }, { "date": 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0.004757, 0.004585 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 0.005, "volume": 70000, "typical_volume": 3205585.0, "trend": 0.004433, "fair_value": 0.00534, "relative_strength": -0.401178, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.831675, "energy": 15.639403, "activity_lines": [ 0.0048, 0.004855, 0.0048, 0.004624 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.005, "volume": 100, "typical_volume": 3205590.0, "trend": 0.004467, "fair_value": 0.005308, "relative_strength": -0.530956, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 35.972145, "energy": 16.535476, "activity_lines": [ 0.004867, 0.004873, 0.004838, 0.00466 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.004, "volume": 1633000, "typical_volume": 3287230.0, "trend": 0.0045, "fair_value": 0.005276, "relative_strength": -21.177983, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -2.695218, "energy": 4.443344, "activity_lines": [ 0.0046, 0.004709, 0.004776, 0.00463 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.004, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 3287230.0, "trend": 0.004467, "fair_value": 0.005244, "relative_strength": -21.721233, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -26.554704, "energy": 36.252532, "activity_lines": [ 0.0044, 0.004564, 0.004714, 0.004598 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.005, "volume": 205300, "typical_volume": 3297495.0, "trend": 0.0045, "fair_value": 0.005212, "relative_strength": -3.698814, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.75571, "energy": 30.599311, "activity_lines": [ 0.004533, 0.004618, 0.004748, 0.004632 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }