{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ee7def67-3cf4-4ec7-83dc-5ab2424aed1f", "symbol": "300333", "name": "SinoSun Technology Co. Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -57.632, "architecture_energy": 40.604, "architecture_maturity": 93.123, "architecture_confidence": 84.758, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 25.53, "rotation_up": 18.62, "upward_expansion": 4.6, "deceleration": 58.97, "rotation_down": 56.09, "downward_expansion": 77.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.14, 8.204727, 8.845571, 9.144172 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Stable", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 8.87, "trend_reference": 9.66, "distance_from_trend": -0.081781, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.725641, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.087978, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -22.019919, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.169476, "excess_performance": -0.176875, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.081781, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.087158, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.087978, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.080244, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.220199, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.153972, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.169476, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.151962, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 0, "relative_activity": 0.0, "balance": 1.151962, "dry_up": 0.692187, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.13416, "annualized_volatility": 0.573666, "from_high_reference": -0.448383, "from_low_reference": 0.350076 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.66, "fair_value_reference": 9.725641, "structural_low": 6.57, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.003285, "positive_rate": 0.521739, "directional_follow_through": 0.478261, "median_excess_return": -0.041357, "regime_survival": 0.782609, "best_return": 0.444737, "worst_return": -0.223947, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.127705, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.095067, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.305144, "worst_return": -0.09612, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.094059, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.09221, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.246114, "worst_return": -0.034392, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-08-02", "end": "2024-09-20", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.227468, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2025-01-17", "tenure": "Established", "return": 1.023077, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-24", "end": "2025-04-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.247588, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-11", "end": "2025-05-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.055455, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-16", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.32694, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 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"typical_volume": 47961206.0, "trend": 9.820667, "fair_value": 9.699167, "relative_strength": -39.227447, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.43763, "energy": 85.371896, "activity_lines": [ 7.358667, 8.192182, 8.901048, 9.262129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.87, "volume": 52871832, "typical_volume": 49400775.65, "trend": 9.747667, "fair_value": 9.711731, "relative_strength": -19.081811, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.212916, "energy": 63.184957, "activity_lines": [ 7.758, 8.177091, 8.870619, 9.200796 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.87, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 47940981.55, "trend": 9.66, "fair_value": 9.725641, "relative_strength": -22.019919, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.631743, "energy": 40.603669, "activity_lines": [ 8.14, 8.204727, 8.845571, 9.144172 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }