{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ee7f2fbe-4d85-44ad-a554-f72ee448742b", "symbol": "688097", "name": "Bozhon Precision Industry Technology Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 62.956, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -37.702, "architecture_energy": 69.14, "architecture_maturity": 18.461, "architecture_confidence": 62.75, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.0, "rotation_up": 16.09, "upward_expansion": 24.09, "deceleration": 43.05, "rotation_down": 71.63, "downward_expansion": 63.42 }, "activity_lines": [ 43.28495, 49.560186, 54.967923, 55.488166 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 44.099998, "trend_reference": 53.830145, "distance_from_trend": -0.180756, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 31.839896, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.385055, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.078447, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.104433, "excess_performance": 0.147637, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.180756, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.15061, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.385055, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.678734, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.020784, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.502049, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.104433, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.02055, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 30114533, "relative_activity": 0.761465, "balance": 1.02055, "dry_up": 0.835495, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.18263, "annualized_volatility": 0.786566, "from_high_reference": -0.389112, "from_low_reference": 0.531117 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 53.830145, "fair_value_reference": 31.839896, "structural_low": 38.099998, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.030773, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.008641, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.090225, "worst_return": -0.028679, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.028399, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.065723, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.189631, "worst_return": -0.132832, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.048331, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.052108, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.265004, "worst_return": -0.168343, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 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"orange", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-05-30", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.021235, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-07-04", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.107492, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-11", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.076839, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-08-22", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.149863, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-08-29", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.136418, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2026-01-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.133974, "active": false }, { 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"date": "2026-07-24", "close": 41.669998, "volume": 37237803, "typical_volume": 44951957.75, "trend": 53.442145, "fair_value": 31.692406, "relative_strength": -3.562327, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -41.852831, "energy": 56.964828, "activity_lines": [ 48.907144, 55.172709, 58.184584, 56.976594 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 39.889999, "volume": 31612573, "typical_volume": 41564691.35, "trend": 53.618479, "fair_value": 31.740508, "relative_strength": -8.476867, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -42.386335, "energy": 69.195868, "activity_lines": [ 44.762186, 51.805175, 56.313611, 56.102262 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 44.099998, "volume": 30114533, "typical_volume": 39548167.0, "trend": 53.830145, "fair_value": 31.839896, "relative_strength": -2.078447, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -37.701859, "energy": 69.139646, "activity_lines": [ 43.28495, 49.560186, 54.967923, 55.488166 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }