{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ee835d02-5c6b-4cc3-916f-f98399562eae", "symbol": "FUNC", "name": "First United Corporation", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 64.091, "architecture_energy": 53.028, "architecture_maturity": 57.756, "architecture_confidence": 73.858, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.21, "rotation_up": 55.37, "upward_expansion": 81.85, "deceleration": 68.06, "rotation_down": 23.8, "downward_expansion": 8.52 }, "activity_lines": [ 44.551187, 44.253441, 42.263879, 40.840599 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 44.74, "trend_reference": 39.310231, "distance_from_trend": 0.138126, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 29.397065, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.521921, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 2.941978, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.137606, "excess_performance": -0.049847, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.138126, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.054648, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.521921, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.104908, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.02942, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.122095, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.137606, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.435715, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 95025, "relative_activity": 1.014365, "balance": 1.435715, "dry_up": 1.5405, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.053121, "annualized_volatility": 0.204826, "from_high_reference": -0.028065, "from_low_reference": 0.406083 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 39.310231, "fair_value_reference": 29.397065, "structural_low": 34.77963, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 31, "median_return": -0.01855, "positive_rate": 0.483871, "directional_follow_through": 0.483871, "median_excess_return": -0.036782, "regime_survival": 0.709677, "best_return": 0.20874, "worst_return": -0.190598, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": 0.064176, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.003377, "regime_survival": 0.416667, "best_return": 0.358387, "worst_return": -0.19832, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.008519, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.428571, "median_excess_return": -0.023698, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.417784, "worst_return": -0.258907, "sufficient": true }, { 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38.809716, "fair_value": 29.024045, "relative_strength": 8.82625, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.962598, "energy": 61.241445, "activity_lines": [ 44.616667, 43.631553, 41.404892, 40.130391 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 44.14, "volume": 172129, "typical_volume": 92727.8, "trend": 39.062057, "fair_value": 29.208338, "relative_strength": 6.934466, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 63.110194, "energy": 55.382146, "activity_lines": [ 44.45069, 43.951497, 41.826115, 40.47428 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 44.74, "volume": 95025, "typical_volume": 93679.3, "trend": 39.310231, "fair_value": 29.397065, "relative_strength": 2.941978, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.091007, "energy": 53.028018, "activity_lines": [ 44.551187, 44.253441, 42.263879, 40.840599 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }