{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ee913223-302d-4a1f-8504-75c467f664ba", "symbol": "000055", "name": "China Fangda Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -54.599, "architecture_energy": 35.92, "architecture_maturity": 63.07, "architecture_confidence": 91.218, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.46, "rotation_up": 19.79, "upward_expansion": 3.88, "deceleration": 56.14, "rotation_down": 52.26, "downward_expansion": 77.22 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.341333, 3.371455, 3.453238, 3.528022 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3.41, "trend_reference": 3.671667, "distance_from_trend": -0.071266, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 4.006018, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.148781, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.613304, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.197647, "excess_performance": -0.205047, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.071266, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.069443, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.148781, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054317, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.166133, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.103269, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.197647, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.566309, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 42647542, "relative_activity": 0.842026, "balance": 0.566309, "dry_up": 1.148249, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.076923, "annualized_volatility": 0.293206, "from_high_reference": -0.27907, "from_low_reference": 0.089457 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3.671667, "fair_value_reference": 4.006018, "structural_low": 3.13, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.00054, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.004754, "regime_survival": 0.863636, "best_return": 0.259594, "worst_return": -0.140097, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.031847, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.017155, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.363947, "worst_return": -0.139303, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.043534, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.0334, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.3483, "worst_return": -0.187101, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": -18.853059, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.873755, "energy": 68.603995, "activity_lines": [ 3.324667, 3.441091, 3.507381, 3.601849 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.21, "volume": 58718534, "typical_volume": 50847137.65, "trend": 3.722667, "fair_value": 4.023846, "relative_strength": -19.939124, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.718755, "energy": 68.648339, "activity_lines": [ 3.267333, 3.387818, 3.473524, 3.566559 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.41, "volume": 47585273, "typical_volume": 51113398.7, "trend": 3.694667, "fair_value": 4.014963, "relative_strength": -12.944425, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.737946, "energy": 54.593929, "activity_lines": [ 3.306, 3.378, 3.462238, 3.546387 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.41, "volume": 42647542, "typical_volume": 50648740.05, "trend": 3.671667, "fair_value": 4.006018, "relative_strength": -16.613304, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.599032, "energy": 35.919843, "activity_lines": [ 3.341333, 3.371455, 3.453238, 3.528022 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }