{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ee9418c8-7610-4d78-8b68-56e68c82ee2c",
    "symbol": "2411",
    "name": "Gendai Agency Inc.",
    "exchange": "JPX",
    "country": "JP",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-09-25",
    "benchmark": "^N225",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 82.658,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 63.204,
    "architecture_energy": 49.289,
    "architecture_maturity": 11.487,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.933,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 22.75,
        "rotation_up": 62.05,
        "upward_expansion": 83.96,
        "deceleration": 49.27,
        "rotation_down": 16.33,
        "downward_expansion": 8.29
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        470.866667,
        469.2,
        465.004762,
        463.730091
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 472.0,
    "trend_reference": 463.388159,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.018585,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 383.942555,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.229351,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -11.198117,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.023861,
    "excess_performance": -0.219541,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018585,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.00107,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.229351,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026233,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.111981,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.137828,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.023861,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.921179,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 28300,
      "relative_activity": 0.667374,
      "balance": 0.921179,
      "dry_up": 1.334748,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.015645,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.138946,
      "from_high_reference": -0.057809,
      "from_low_reference": 0.198729
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 463.388159,
      "fair_value_reference": 383.942555,
      "structural_low": 438.0,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.008197,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001491,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.069277,
        "worst_return": -0.002114,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.064853,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.117741,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.099523,
        "worst_return": 0.030184,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.170695,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.148546,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.2005,
        "worst_return": 0.14089,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "positive_rate": 1.0,
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        "median_excess_return": 0.1238,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.450798,
        "worst_return": 0.424937,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.019391,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-10-24",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
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        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2026-05-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.023651,
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      {
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        "return": 0.020455,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
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        "typical_volume": 185600.0,
        "trend": 462.638751,
        "fair_value": 372.994047,
        "relative_strength": -25.072923,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -46.614479,
        "energy": 59.702129,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 164475.0,
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        "relative_strength": -22.39693,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Structural failure",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 141630.0,
        "trend": 462.979203,
        "fair_value": 373.64378,
        "relative_strength": -26.928779,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "energy": 54.888678,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 134235.0,
        "trend": 462.807463,
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        "relative_strength": -24.980963,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -55.548458,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 126465.0,
        "trend": 463.199006,
        "fair_value": 374.506896,
        "relative_strength": -22.762851,
        "stage": 3,
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        "energy": 20.327962,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 10000,
        "typical_volume": 122335.0,
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        "relative_strength": -20.404347,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -19.385314,
        "energy": 15.608659,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 82500,
        "typical_volume": 120810.0,
        "trend": 463.88463,
        "fair_value": 375.761065,
        "relative_strength": -15.485766,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 19.119967,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 10300,
        "typical_volume": 112175.0,
        "trend": 463.98463,
        "fair_value": 376.570399,
        "relative_strength": -14.868667,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -12.707528,
        "energy": 21.06332,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "volume": 5200,
        "typical_volume": 107255.0,
        "trend": 464.277866,
        "fair_value": 377.394387,
        "relative_strength": -14.381506,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
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        "typical_volume": 103845.0,
        "trend": 464.281249,
        "fair_value": 378.210132,
        "relative_strength": -14.910765,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "direction": -1.538954,
        "energy": 11.939002,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 465.0,
        "volume": 12200,
        "typical_volume": 98675.0,
        "trend": 463.732342,
        "fair_value": 379.113796,
        "relative_strength": -18.229152,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 18.124149,
        "energy": 23.028367,
        "activity_lines": [
          463.933333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-21",
        "close": 465.0,
        "volume": 1600,
        "typical_volume": 81070.0,
        "trend": 462.891045,
        "fair_value": 379.96251,
        "relative_strength": -14.293949,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 17.957894,
        "energy": 26.96951,
        "activity_lines": [
          464.533333,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-28",
        "close": 473.0,
        "volume": 52200,
        "typical_volume": 80190.0,
        "trend": 463.258558,
        "fair_value": 380.747112,
        "relative_strength": -12.759877,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 39.018803,
        "energy": 49.67204,
        "activity_lines": [
          467.466667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-09-04",
        "close": 470.0,
        "volume": 58200,
        "typical_volume": 63430.0,
        "trend": 463.428608,
        "fair_value": 381.528967,
        "relative_strength": -10.940715,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 28.384093,
        "energy": 49.230722,
        "activity_lines": [
          468.8,
          466.6,
          462.052381,
          462.36209
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-09-11",
        "close": 470.0,
        "volume": 52100,
        "typical_volume": 41880.0,
        "trend": 463.696121,
        "fair_value": 382.327308,
        "relative_strength": -9.15238,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 36.752279,
        "energy": 52.827411,
        "activity_lines": [
          469.6,
          467.454545,
          462.980952,
          462.786051
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-09-18",
        "close": 470.0,
        "volume": 87800,
        "typical_volume": 42200.0,
        "trend": 463.671245,
        "fair_value": 383.131144,
        "relative_strength": -10.176,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 33.735219,
        "energy": 49.330522,
        "activity_lines": [
          470.066667,
          468.181818,
          463.914286,
          463.192752
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-09-25",
        "close": 472.0,
        "volume": 28300,
        "typical_volume": 42405.0,
        "trend": 463.388159,
        "fair_value": 383.942555,
        "relative_strength": -11.198117,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 63.204242,
        "energy": 49.289391,
        "activity_lines": [
          470.866667,
          469.2,
          465.004762,
          463.730091
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}