{ "ticker": { "uuid": "eec5de46-7404-4aee-bf88-4569d4fc5b4b", "symbol": "300661", "name": "SG Micro Corp", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 21.88, "architecture_energy": 25.848, "architecture_maturity": 75.8, "architecture_confidence": 95.688, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.03, "rotation_up": 20.03, "upward_expansion": 54.51, "deceleration": 91.16, "rotation_down": 43.53, "downward_expansion": 22.85 }, "activity_lines": [ 104.586668, 112.496002, 110.229676, 102.318107 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 111.68, "trend_reference": 92.297115, "distance_from_trend": 0.210005, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 70.660986, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.580504, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 29.691559, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.47004, "excess_performance": 0.46264, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.210005, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.209194, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.580504, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.253745, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.296916, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.321256, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.47004, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.745832, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 77030887, "relative_activity": 0.760025, "balance": 1.745832, "dry_up": 0.868834, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.156305, "annualized_volatility": 0.671006, "from_high_reference": -0.226593, "from_low_reference": 0.805887 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 92.297115, "fair_value_reference": 70.660986, "structural_low": 61.842188, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.024062, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": 0.01509, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.082967, "worst_return": -0.167234, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.030543, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.005994, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.199244, "worst_return": 0.007179, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.027282, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.050405, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.146818, "worst_return": 0.010712, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 60.620952, "energy": 47.920617, "activity_lines": [ 121.111335, 120.616547, 109.298394, 99.854898 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 100.410004, "volume": 85362947, "typical_volume": 107496516.1, "trend": 89.970559, "fair_value": 70.172338, "relative_strength": 21.782897, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 40.297543, "energy": 26.605347, "activity_lines": [ 112.636669, 117.326911, 109.546876, 100.603134 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 95.730003, "volume": 103058430, "typical_volume": 103178047.2, "trend": 90.857361, "fair_value": 70.358382, "relative_strength": 17.538937, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 18.00455, "energy": 24.695615, "activity_lines": [ 104.759336, 113.322548, 109.183899, 100.974711 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 111.68, "volume": 77030887, "typical_volume": 101353037.55, "trend": 92.297115, "fair_value": 70.660986, "relative_strength": 29.691559, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 21.880305, "energy": 25.848372, "activity_lines": [ 104.586668, 112.496002, 110.229676, 102.318107 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }