{ "ticker": { "uuid": "eed0c51c-5133-4e55-90cd-ba23d29d7607", "symbol": "600343", "name": "Shaanxi Aerospace Power Hi-Tech Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.658, "architecture_energy": 83.999, "architecture_maturity": 36.0, "architecture_confidence": 89.453, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.73, "rotation_up": 9.09, "upward_expansion": 20.91, "deceleration": 37.12, "rotation_down": 73.06, "downward_expansion": 91.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 19.076, 21.529637, 25.27481, 27.531075 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 20.280001, "trend_reference": 30.753667, "distance_from_trend": -0.340566, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 15.500641, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.308333, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -23.113758, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.442398, "excess_performance": -0.399194, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.340566, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.061463, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.308333, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.391107, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.231138, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.753776, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.442398, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.267544, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 137791285, "relative_activity": 0.806211, "balance": 0.267544, "dry_up": 1.036158, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.202397, "annualized_volatility": 0.850761, "from_high_reference": -0.601415, "from_low_reference": 0.542205 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 30.753667, "fair_value_reference": 15.500641, "structural_low": 15.71, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": 0.007624, "positive_rate": 0.588235, "directional_follow_through": 0.411765, "median_excess_return": -0.001932, "regime_survival": 0.647059, "best_return": 0.294601, "worst_return": -0.286576, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.055062, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.015971, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.375587, "worst_return": -0.137045, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.102113, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": 0.073551, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.325062, "worst_return": -0.156904, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-07-24", "close": 17.200001, "volume": 244250596, "typical_volume": 175640950.3, "trend": 32.640667, "fair_value": 15.392821, "relative_strength": -32.362025, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -83.33349, "energy": 71.509299, "activity_lines": [ 21.498, 23.532727, 27.190428, 29.246602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.48, "volume": 143316993, "typical_volume": 171659735.75, "trend": 31.71, "fair_value": 15.439103, "relative_strength": -31.724791, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.908667, "energy": 85.776329, "activity_lines": [ 19.527333, 22.140727, 26.063952, 28.268495 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.280001, "volume": 137791285, "typical_volume": 170912229.95, "trend": 30.753667, "fair_value": 15.500641, "relative_strength": -23.113758, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.658157, "energy": 83.999065, "activity_lines": [ 19.076, 21.529637, 25.27481, 27.531075 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }