{ "ticker": { "uuid": "eed2c9c6-756f-4234-9b43-3c57e167f00d", "symbol": "SALZERELEC", "name": "Salzer Electronics Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -22.147, "architecture_energy": 48.096, "architecture_maturity": 4.918, "architecture_confidence": 76.973, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 42.4, "rotation_up": 15.15, "upward_expansion": 24.98, "deceleration": 49.78, "rotation_down": 63.49, "downward_expansion": 52.32 }, "activity_lines": [ 592.140014, 605.409104, 624.09001, 621.263448 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 608.950012, "trend_reference": 616.021669, "distance_from_trend": -0.01148, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 775.806727, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.215075, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.848292, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.003518, "excess_performance": 0.040191, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.01148, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.045869, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.215075, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.192108, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.098483, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.10958, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.003518, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.235285, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 308074, "relative_activity": 1.105566, "balance": 0.235285, "dry_up": 0.685204, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.066205, "annualized_volatility": 0.39948, "from_high_reference": -0.360682, "from_low_reference": 0.245806 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 616.021669, "fair_value_reference": 775.806727, "structural_low": 488.799988, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.104015, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.088409, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.223075, "worst_return": 0.07755, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.020572, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.073736, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.393975, "worst_return": -0.041585, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.466007, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.334752, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.496885, "worst_return": -0.151914, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 575.950012, "volume": 126524, "typical_volume": 294519.65, "trend": 620.590002, "fair_value": 772.584938, "relative_strength": -13.164387, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -29.813399, "energy": 41.940076, "activity_lines": [ 597.903345, 615.121828, 628.762865, 624.271833 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 581.900024, "volume": 180943, "typical_volume": 282312.55, "trend": 616.890002, "fair_value": 774.052222, "relative_strength": -13.919044, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.969835, "energy": 48.922422, "activity_lines": [ 588.416683, 606.691831, 625.165962, 621.775705 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 608.950012, "volume": 308074, "typical_volume": 278657.35, "trend": 616.021669, "fair_value": 775.806727, "relative_strength": -9.848292, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.146947, "energy": 48.095937, "activity_lines": [ 592.140014, 605.409104, 624.09001, 621.263448 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }