{ "ticker": { "uuid": "eed70e49-f149-4cd6-946f-e4d1794c30c5", "symbol": "292050", "name": "KB Asset Management Co. Ltd. - KB KBStar KRX300 ETF Fund", "exchange": "KSC", "country": "KR", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^KS11", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": -13.749, "architecture_energy": 31.235, "architecture_maturity": 63.263, "architecture_confidence": 87.484, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.59, "rotation_up": 14.04, "upward_expansion": 43.33, "deceleration": 87.76, "rotation_down": 54.63, "downward_expansion": 39.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 47637.666667, 52005.727273, 53397.631715, 50847.880973 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 44500.0, "trend_reference": 46874.230859, "distance_from_trend": -0.050651, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 23621.379157, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.883887, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 3.257224, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.269292, "excess_performance": 0.039463, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.050651, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.244451, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.883887, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.749519, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.032572, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.037033, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.269292, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.192544, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7267, "relative_activity": 0.567251, "balance": 1.192544, "dry_up": 0.649213, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.146249, "annualized_volatility": 0.509011, "from_high_reference": -0.352162, "from_low_reference": 1.243933 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 46874.230859, "fair_value_reference": 23621.379157, "structural_low": 35093.644215, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.01086, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.008711, "regime_survival": 0.222222, "best_return": 0.300271, "worst_return": -0.044368, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.028507, "positive_rate": 0.833333, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": 0.013738, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.327755, "worst_return": -0.026777, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.067827, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.035037, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.120853, 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50581.673858 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 47865.0, "volume": 5842, "typical_volume": 13559.65, "trend": 45777.890365, "fair_value": 23225.334848, "relative_strength": 4.410451, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.077963, "energy": 24.782173, "activity_lines": [ 51901.666667, 55777.272727, 54188.059635, 50759.608543 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 49080.0, "volume": 9980, "typical_volume": 12923.2, "trend": 46433.886979, "fair_value": 23437.331311, "relative_strength": 8.286283, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.712922, "energy": 25.135323, "activity_lines": [ 50096.0, 54242.0, 54036.495443, 50972.647875 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 44500.0, "volume": 7267, "typical_volume": 12810.9, "trend": 46874.230859, "fair_value": 23621.379157, "relative_strength": 3.257224, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": -13.748921, "energy": 31.234915, "activity_lines": [ 47637.666667, 52005.727273, 53397.631715, 50847.880973 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }