{ "ticker": { "uuid": "eeda559c-82c7-4715-9382-18b90b1c1c50", "symbol": "4115", "name": "Sunder Biomedical Tech. Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -37.873, "architecture_energy": 18.007, "architecture_maturity": 28.137, "architecture_confidence": 71.974, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.45, "rotation_up": 19.72, "upward_expansion": 12.07, "deceleration": 55.3, "rotation_down": 39.08, "downward_expansion": 62.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.744667, 7.737091, 7.992143, 8.035892 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 7.69, "trend_reference": 8.077, "distance_from_trend": -0.047914, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 10.776795, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.28643, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -34.185694, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.066748, "excess_performance": -0.50812, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.047914, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.025458, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.28643, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.078159, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.341857, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.053808, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.066748, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.327255, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 33028, "relative_activity": 0.052869, "balance": 0.327255, "dry_up": 0.237795, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.135141, "annualized_volatility": 0.630093, "from_high_reference": -0.364463, "from_low_reference": 0.177642 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.077, "fair_value_reference": 10.776795, "structural_low": 6.53, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.047425, "positive_rate": 0.125, "directional_follow_through": 0.125, "median_excess_return": -0.08585, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.048452, "worst_return": -0.111675, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.146152, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.30567, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.134409, "worst_return": -0.157895, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.085317, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.443853, "regime_survival": 1.0, "best_return": -0.07601, "worst_return": -0.094624, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"2026-07-03", "close": 7.88, "volume": 63294, "typical_volume": 627517.45, "trend": 8.223667, "fair_value": 11.140758, "relative_strength": -40.001245, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -20.513118, "energy": 15.640052, "activity_lines": [ 7.813333, 8.028727, 8.238333, 8.209742 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 7.83, "volume": 388113, "typical_volume": 642082.3, "trend": 8.211, "fair_value": 11.0807, "relative_strength": -37.515177, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.469394, "energy": 19.141785, "activity_lines": [ 7.811333, 7.925818, 8.209857, 8.184344 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.5, "volume": 140919, "typical_volume": 639662.25, "trend": 8.173667, "fair_value": 11.017896, "relative_strength": -35.386439, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -41.708323, "energy": 21.999228, "activity_lines": [ 7.716, 7.790364, 8.150048, 8.138473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.5, "volume": 162060, "typical_volume": 628900.5, "trend": 8.140667, "fair_value": 10.955092, "relative_strength": -35.787522, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -50.531444, "energy": 28.480326, "activity_lines": [ 7.636, 7.708545, 8.092048, 8.095011 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.78, "volume": 269418, "typical_volume": 626842.95, "trend": 8.115, "fair_value": 10.896603, "relative_strength": -31.492114, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.850473, "energy": 25.939296, "activity_lines": [ 7.662667, 7.707636, 8.059048, 8.071742 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.97, "volume": 129711, "typical_volume": 630385.75, "trend": 8.100667, "fair_value": 10.834872, "relative_strength": -30.472363, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -36.064076, "energy": 20.700527, "activity_lines": [ 7.753333, 7.752727, 8.040905, 8.062387 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 7.69, "volume": 33028, "typical_volume": 624714.65, "trend": 8.077, "fair_value": 10.776795, "relative_strength": -34.185694, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.873201, "energy": 18.007418, "activity_lines": [ 7.744667, 7.737091, 7.992143, 8.035892 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }