{ "ticker": { "uuid": "eee1de45-e461-483d-86c7-f590b19c5561", "symbol": "MID", "name": "AMERICAN CENTURY ETF TRUST MID CAP GROWTH IMPACT ETF", "exchange": "NYSEARCA", "country": "US", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 53.421, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.473, "architecture_energy": 34.21, "architecture_maturity": 37.98, "architecture_confidence": 69.936, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 35.52, "rotation_up": 41.3, "upward_expansion": 70.5, "deceleration": 88.99, "rotation_down": 26.07, "downward_expansion": 8.5 }, "activity_lines": [ 67.870147, 67.80956, 67.086749, 66.270604 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 69.4094, "trend_reference": 65.682549, "distance_from_trend": 0.05674, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 59.607207, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.164446, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -6.433407, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.060832, "excess_performance": -0.064793, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.05674, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.008014, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.164446, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036776, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.064334, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.050311, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.060832, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.248699, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 18597, "relative_activity": 1.119765, "balance": 1.248699, "dry_up": 0.840622, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.031392, "annualized_volatility": 0.153781, "from_high_reference": -0.016028, "from_low_reference": 0.167944 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 65.682549, "fair_value_reference": 59.607207, "structural_low": 59.428687, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": 0.004824, "positive_rate": 0.521739, "directional_follow_through": 0.521739, "median_excess_return": -0.004833, "regime_survival": 0.652174, "best_return": 0.091635, "worst_return": -0.060964, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.009751, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.037644, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.17805, "worst_return": -0.069144, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.06945, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.013127, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.189537, "worst_return": 0.002736, "sufficient": true }, 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68.19644, 67.668328, 66.481334, 65.892358 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 66.4204, "volume": 3913, "typical_volume": 17396.75, "trend": 65.564783, "fair_value": 59.339167, "relative_strength": -6.9048, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 55.687766, "energy": 36.94005, "activity_lines": [ 67.650653, 67.548997, 66.595499, 65.947754 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 66.7622, "volume": 7857, "typical_volume": 16531.3, "trend": 65.602636, "fair_value": 59.462296, "relative_strength": -7.121332, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 41.921647, "energy": 27.170581, "activity_lines": [ 67.2964, 67.450222, 66.727058, 66.025007 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 69.4094, "volume": 18597, "typical_volume": 16607.95, "trend": 65.682549, "fair_value": 59.607207, "relative_strength": -6.433407, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.473207, "energy": 34.210115, "activity_lines": [ 67.870147, 67.80956, 67.086749, 66.270604 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }