{ "ticker": { "uuid": "eeea9bf2-a101-488a-9666-57873692f5e4", "symbol": "600188", "name": "Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 38.436, "architecture_energy": 20.603, "architecture_maturity": 34.034, "architecture_confidence": 80.088, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 51.17, "rotation_up": 47.58, "upward_expansion": 54.78, "deceleration": 67.59, "rotation_down": 16.54, "downward_expansion": 20.78 }, "activity_lines": [ 20.11677, 19.605631, 20.157507, 20.008803 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 21.33, "trend_reference": 19.181589, "distance_from_trend": 0.112004, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 14.713131, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.449725, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 27.484038, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.456967, "excess_performance": 0.500171, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.112004, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.117287, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.449725, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.085934, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.27484, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.052186, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.456967, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.110043, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 329880739, "relative_activity": 1.307685, "balance": 2.110043, "dry_up": 1.322164, "accumulation_observations": 6, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.126255, "annualized_volatility": 0.534341, "from_high_reference": -0.221533, "from_low_reference": 0.721389 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.181589, "fair_value_reference": 14.713131, "structural_low": 13.73, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.000195, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.006908, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.088235, "worst_return": -0.172191, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.03816, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.066775, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.233587, "worst_return": -0.135189, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.071813, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.035293, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.125248, "worst_return": -0.145129, "sufficient": false }, { 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.550528, "energy": 31.083408, "activity_lines": [ 18.144956, 19.44605, 20.13676, 19.674637 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 19.73, "volume": 411334825, "typical_volume": 277092678.9, "trend": 18.683589, "fair_value": 14.599587, "relative_strength": 23.780032, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -16.617024, "energy": 22.69678, "activity_lines": [ 18.643777, 19.358274, 20.077199, 19.755416 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 20.190001, "volume": 264030591, "typical_volume": 259111009.55, "trend": 18.908923, "fair_value": 14.651925, "relative_strength": 25.139172, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.598731, "energy": 9.863258, "activity_lines": [ 19.272599, 19.379952, 20.059306, 19.852604 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 21.33, "volume": 329880739, "typical_volume": 252263082.0, "trend": 19.181589, "fair_value": 14.713131, "relative_strength": 27.484038, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.436459, "energy": 20.603168, "activity_lines": [ 20.11677, 19.605631, 20.157507, 20.008803 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }