{ "ticker": { "uuid": "eeed3728-4e7b-4ad7-80bc-f532bbda7ae1", "symbol": "6294", "name": "Tekom Technologies, Inc", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 95.923, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.296, "architecture_energy": 48.881, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 89.599, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.33, "rotation_up": 28.78, "upward_expansion": 7.9, "deceleration": 53.32, "rotation_down": 50.67, "downward_expansion": 83.57 }, "activity_lines": [ 27.64, 27.811818, 28.62211, 30.631561 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 28.85, "trend_reference": 33.559594, "distance_from_trend": -0.140335, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 61.394898, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.530091, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -49.345512, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.298534, "excess_performance": -0.739906, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.140335, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.123626, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.530091, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.053563, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.493455, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.081898, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.298534, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.11934, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 283857, "relative_activity": 1.139932, "balance": 2.11934, "dry_up": 0.594824, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.07159, "annualized_volatility": 0.350608, "from_high_reference": -0.506747, "from_low_reference": 0.118217 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 33.559594, "fair_value_reference": 61.394898, "structural_low": 25.799999, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": -0.004395, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.59375, "median_excess_return": -0.019253, "regime_survival": 0.8125, "best_return": 0.258772, "worst_return": -0.327461, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.035139, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.114929, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.085, "worst_return": -0.38809, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.116348, "positive_rate": 0.166667, "directional_follow_through": 0.833333, "median_excess_return": -0.174328, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.024752, "worst_return": -0.31467, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"energy": 49.386186, "activity_lines": [ 27.863333, 28.048182, 29.721253, 31.992678 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 26.950001, "volume": 107260, "typical_volume": 242678.4, "trend": 34.602633, "fair_value": 62.153862, "relative_strength": -51.530096, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.149554, "energy": 54.248049, "activity_lines": [ 27.493334, 27.84, 29.244276, 31.466373 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 26.85, "volume": 57221, "typical_volume": 238583.35, "trend": 34.036948, "fair_value": 61.759347, "relative_strength": -52.008247, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.529008, "energy": 55.953154, "activity_lines": [ 27.12, 27.638182, 28.81247, 30.966203 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 28.85, "volume": 283857, "typical_volume": 249012.25, "trend": 33.559594, "fair_value": 61.394898, "relative_strength": -49.345512, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.295916, "energy": 48.880842, "activity_lines": [ 27.64, 27.811818, 28.62211, 30.631561 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }