{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ef0a64cb-4f4c-4612-8c5b-3436a0d25b79",
    "symbol": "MSCI",
    "name": "MSCI Inc.",
    "exchange": "MEX",
    "country": "MX",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^MXX",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 72.702,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 26.563,
    "architecture_energy": 23.644,
    "architecture_maturity": 21.06,
    "architecture_confidence": 59.18,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 45.14,
        "rotation_up": 46.72,
        "upward_expansion": 69.9,
        "deceleration": 59.93,
        "rotation_down": 23.71,
        "downward_expansion": 13.23
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      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.333333
    },
    "latest_close": 10040.0,
    "trend_reference": 10142.844303,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.01014,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 10198.901402,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.01558,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -3.980484,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.041723,
    "excess_performance": 0.09639,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01014,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013717,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.01558,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.042799,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.039805,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.059332,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.041723,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.138983,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 72,
      "relative_activity": 0.537514,
      "balance": 1.138983,
      "dry_up": 0.543113,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.044282,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.31095,
      "from_high_reference": -0.11775,
      "from_low_reference": 0.082098
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 10142.844303,
      "fair_value_reference": 10198.901402,
      "structural_low": 9278.27058,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 22,
        "median_return": -0.001422,
        "positive_rate": 0.454545,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.454545,
        "median_excess_return": -0.0034,
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        "best_return": 0.101273,
        "worst_return": -0.169145,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
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      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "worst_return": -0.337836,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.235342,
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-03",
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-10",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 113,
        "typical_volume": 127.65,
        "trend": 10073.918978,
        "fair_value": 10168.180032,
        "relative_strength": 8.40833,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 11380.0,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 127.65,
        "trend": 10127.982975,
        "fair_value": 10190.808753,
        "relative_strength": 8.889495,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 85.104854,
        "energy": 87.166964,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 9922.0,
        "volume": 106,
        "typical_volume": 131.35,
        "trend": 10133.446973,
        "fair_value": 10194.481286,
        "relative_strength": -5.408573,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 37.999943,
        "energy": 43.341277,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 10040.0,
        "volume": 72,
        "typical_volume": 133.95,
        "trend": 10142.844303,
        "fair_value": 10198.901402,
        "relative_strength": -3.980484,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 26.562973,
        "energy": 23.643527,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}