{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ef0b2e7d-4664-4673-8301-ed41391d8728",
    "symbol": "RAMANEWS",
    "name": "Shree Rama Newsprint Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 63.532,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -11.685,
    "architecture_energy": 9.292,
    "architecture_maturity": 45.21,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.399,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 43.87,
        "rotation_up": 29.52,
        "upward_expansion": 19.54,
        "deceleration": 41.18,
        "rotation_down": 27.84,
        "downward_expansion": 60.54
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        30.104,
        29.614909,
        29.89319,
        30.559097
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 33.080002,
    "trend_reference": 31.141666,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.062243,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 25.19109,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.313163,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 7.338076,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.08317,
    "excess_performance": 0.126879,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.062243,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.008753,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.313163,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.034444,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.073381,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055661,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08317,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.430501,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 777463,
      "relative_activity": 4.245335,
      "balance": 1.430501,
      "dry_up": 1.434841,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.070691,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.441904,
      "from_high_reference": -0.212381,
      "from_low_reference": 0.222921
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 31.141666,
      "fair_value_reference": 25.19109,
      "structural_low": 27.120001,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 21,
        "median_return": -0.003354,
        "positive_rate": 0.428571,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.032077,
        "regime_survival": 0.761905,
        "best_return": 0.996037,
        "worst_return": -0.150869,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.003108,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.038575,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.740247,
        "worst_return": -0.153094,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.088844,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": 0.088287,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
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        "worst_return": -0.1875,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.564984,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.317667,
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        "best_return": 0.609442,
        "worst_return": -0.371968,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-09-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.081967,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "typical_volume": 419397.7,
        "trend": 31.43,
        "fair_value": 23.697885,
        "relative_strength": 3.100875,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 41.170102,
        "energy": 21.28768,
        "activity_lines": [
          33.152666,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 32.099998,
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        "typical_volume": 421360.85,
        "trend": 31.450333,
        "fair_value": 23.82,
        "relative_strength": 1.771987,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 423284.5,
        "trend": 31.430666,
        "fair_value": 23.923654,
        "relative_strength": -5.222813,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
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        "activity_lines": [
          31.480666,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 417606.3,
        "trend": 31.398666,
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        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 418719.25,
        "trend": 31.416666,
        "fair_value": 24.129808,
        "relative_strength": -1.714164,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
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        "energy": 32.079701,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 415528.85,
        "trend": 31.463333,
        "fair_value": 24.234679,
        "relative_strength": -0.922868,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -28.892789,
        "energy": 42.273528,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 393995.5,
        "trend": 31.458666,
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        "relative_strength": -2.999845,
        "stage": 3,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "stage": 4,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 0,
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        "relative_strength": -4.79617,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.460572,
        "energy": 46.62526,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.242,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 14186,
        "typical_volume": 365241.05,
        "trend": 31.386333,
        "fair_value": 24.643718,
        "relative_strength": -5.805119,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.573603,
        "energy": 46.232867,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 29.209999,
        "volume": 54751,
        "typical_volume": 344534.6,
        "trend": 31.321,
        "fair_value": 24.749872,
        "relative_strength": -4.726143,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -56.215849,
        "energy": 39.006365,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.122666,
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          30.943355
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 28.84,
        "volume": 68735,
        "typical_volume": 258190.45,
        "trend": 31.262333,
        "fair_value": 24.854615,
        "relative_strength": -6.005407,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.366066,
        "energy": 41.64842,
        "activity_lines": [
          29.024666,
          29.132363,
          30.132047,
          30.78329
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 28.57,
        "volume": 152307,
        "typical_volume": 242514.2,
        "trend": 31.183333,
        "fair_value": 24.95859,
        "relative_strength": -4.47312,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.464731,
        "energy": 40.877658,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.857333,
          29.020545,
          29.878476,
          30.609591
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 28.389999,
        "volume": 52565,
        "typical_volume": 169134.25,
        "trend": 31.069333,
        "fair_value": 25.061731,
        "relative_strength": -7.185022,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -59.66811,
        "energy": 40.881174,
        "activity_lines": [
          28.676666,
          28.886,
          29.642571,
          30.429376
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 33.080002,
        "volume": 777463,
        "typical_volume": 183133.5,
        "trend": 31.141666,
        "fair_value": 25.19109,
        "relative_strength": 7.338076,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -11.685226,
        "energy": 9.291965,
        "activity_lines": [
          30.104,
          29.614909,
          29.89319,
          30.559097
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}