{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ef0d0ae8-3927-475b-9a25-f7801226a707",
    "symbol": "ALM-PREF",
    "name": "ALM Equity AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 57.303,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 60.262,
    "architecture_energy": 41.986,
    "architecture_maturity": 14.889,
    "architecture_confidence": 73.703,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 18.89,
        "rotation_up": 57.25,
        "upward_expansion": 78.18,
        "deceleration": 56.51,
        "rotation_down": 18.11,
        "downward_expansion": 4.85
      },
      "activity_lines": [
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        87.753812
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 89.5,
    "trend_reference": 86.380392,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.036115,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 73.838414,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.212106,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -4.178299,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.111004,
    "excess_performance": 0.04951,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.036115,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.038485,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.212106,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017569,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.041783,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032459,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.111004,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.950852,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 66500,
      "relative_activity": 0.852471,
      "balance": 0.950852,
      "dry_up": 0.818465,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.019249,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.097848,
      "from_high_reference": -0.026115,
      "from_low_reference": 0.173634
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 73.838414,
      "structural_low": 80.264799,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "sample_count": 22,
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        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.057419,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 90.900002,
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        "typical_volume": 108668.15,
        "trend": 81.857089,
        "fair_value": 71.19061,
        "relative_strength": 1.369862,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 87.927635,
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        "typical_volume": 108238.25,
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        "fair_value": 71.504745,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 110515.15,
        "trend": 82.66762,
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        "relative_strength": -0.842961,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 114955.5,
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        "fair_value": 71.837093,
        "relative_strength": -5.558195,
        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 22.251332,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 119509.9,
        "trend": 83.179229,
        "fair_value": 72.039738,
        "relative_strength": -3.960066,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 114728.6,
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        "fair_value": 72.237857,
        "relative_strength": -3.984577,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 21.952019,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 22837,
        "typical_volume": 112049.55,
        "trend": 83.841404,
        "fair_value": 72.444912,
        "relative_strength": -1.285958,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "energy": 22.013372,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 89.099998,
        "volume": 29393,
        "typical_volume": 103231.6,
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        "fair_value": 72.862175,
        "relative_strength": -0.955712,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
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        "energy": 43.433851,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 89.099998,
        "volume": 16242,
        "typical_volume": 98669.3,
        "trend": 84.871221,
        "fair_value": 73.04845,
        "relative_strength": -3.546161,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 63.716281,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 88.0,
        "volume": 104032,
        "typical_volume": 96302.0,
        "trend": 85.186428,
        "fair_value": 73.199293,
        "relative_strength": -2.432172,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "energy": 51.122164,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 88.300003,
        "volume": 72816,
        "typical_volume": 87794.4,
        "trend": 85.489421,
        "fair_value": 73.351562,
        "relative_strength": -0.999406,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 54.640964,
        "energy": 45.326243,
        "activity_lines": [
          88.507434,
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          87.925757,
          87.037772
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 89.300003,
        "volume": 68399,
        "typical_volume": 82727.9,
        "trend": 85.800359,
        "fair_value": 73.509743,
        "relative_strength": -1.40103,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.936903,
        "energy": 39.700797,
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          88.087306,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 89.699997,
        "volume": 47674,
        "typical_volume": 79101.0,
        "trend": 86.11161,
        "fair_value": 73.675466,
        "relative_strength": -2.213939,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.809598,
        "energy": 41.700921,
        "activity_lines": [
          89.046667,
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          88.270893,
          87.535206
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 89.5,
        "volume": 66500,
        "typical_volume": 78008.5,
        "trend": 86.380392,
        "fair_value": 73.838414,
        "relative_strength": -4.178299,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 60.262213,
        "energy": 41.985758,
        "activity_lines": [
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          88.412823,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}