{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ef0e84ab-e262-48ea-9628-928075f89207",
    "symbol": "FPT",
    "name": "Frasers Property (Thailand) Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1c",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch",
    "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch",
    "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 70.088,
    "architecture_energy": 86.339,
    "architecture_maturity": 29.546,
    "architecture_confidence": 70.29,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 10.24,
        "rotation_up": 83.15,
        "upward_expansion": 99.05,
        "deceleration": 39.02,
        "rotation_down": 8.41,
        "downward_expansion": 21.05
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        6.986667,
        6.811818,
        6.619286,
        6.516344
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 7.0,
    "trend_reference": 6.396667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.09432,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 9.611029,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.27167,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -3.389298,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.138211,
    "excess_performance": -0.054114,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.09432,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037632,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.27167,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.10002,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.033893,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.072699,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.138211,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.733939,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 180000,
      "relative_activity": 0.148171,
      "balance": 1.733939,
      "dry_up": 0.252404,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.032967,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.180358,
      "from_high_reference": -0.034483,
      "from_low_reference": 0.272727
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.396667,
      "fair_value_reference": 9.611029,
      "structural_low": 5.9,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 15,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": 0.002093,
        "regime_survival": 0.733333,
        "best_return": 0.153226,
        "worst_return": -0.08209,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.013072,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": 0.02361,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.225806,
        "worst_return": -0.052632,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.006579,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.062106,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.16129,
        "worst_return": -0.058824,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.040541,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.200019,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.261737,
        "worst_return": -0.321223,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-08-18",
        "end": "2023-12-29",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.013689,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-01-05",
        "end": "2024-02-23",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.026144,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-03-01",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.013333,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-05-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.020134,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-06-07",
        "end": "2024-06-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.013423,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-06-28",
        "end": "2025-06-06",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.50909,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-06-13",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-09-12",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.023437,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-09-19",
        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.014815,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-10-03",
        "end": "2025-10-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.015152,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-10-31",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.067377,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-02-20",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.104478,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-05-22",
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        "return": 0.040984,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "start": "2026-05-29",
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        "return": 0.09375,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "typical_volume": 297000.0,
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 9.774871,
        "relative_strength": -8.591224,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.566706,
        "energy": 49.580062,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "volume": 456000,
        "typical_volume": 1192256.1,
        "trend": 6.3,
        "fair_value": 9.734616,
        "relative_strength": -3.972065,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.950385,
        "energy": 83.142651,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.723333,
          6.579091,
          6.448333,
          6.390215
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 6.9,
        "volume": 362600,
        "typical_volume": 1202871.1,
        "trend": 6.33,
        "fair_value": 9.693659,
        "relative_strength": -6.745777,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.307816,
        "energy": 82.616134,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.826667,
          6.651818,
          6.500476,
          6.428925
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 7.05,
        "volume": 227900,
        "typical_volume": 1212931.1,
        "trend": 6.365,
        "fair_value": 9.651925,
        "relative_strength": -3.466881,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 77.597628,
        "energy": 87.338229,
        "activity_lines": [
          6.94,
          6.742727,
          6.564048,
          6.475376
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7.0,
        "volume": 180000,
        "typical_volume": 1214816.1,
        "trend": 6.396667,
        "fair_value": 9.611029,
        "relative_strength": -3.389298,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 70.08848,
        "energy": 86.338549,
        "activity_lines": [
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          6.811818,
          6.619286,
          6.516344
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}