{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ef144d95-d2c2-4754-b977-15a1f9d26113", "symbol": "CCNS", "name": "CIBC Conservative Fixed Income Pool ETF", "exchange": "TOR", "country": "CA", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^GSPTSE", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 80.116, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 38.467, "architecture_energy": 20.802, "architecture_maturity": 48.923, "architecture_confidence": 66.514, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.0, "rotation_up": 34.68, "upward_expansion": 63.73, "deceleration": 85.06, "rotation_down": 26.79, "downward_expansion": 16.06 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.029377, 18.032024, 18.008638, 17.998012 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 18.02, "trend_reference": 17.994151, "distance_from_trend": 0.001437, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 17.123984, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.052325, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -10.813656, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.001248, "excess_performance": -0.119173, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.001437, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.002423, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.052325, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.006464, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.108137, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000104, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.001248, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.041712, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3323, "relative_activity": 2.282594, "balance": 0.041712, "dry_up": 1.172551, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.00319, "annualized_volatility": 0.031879, "from_high_reference": -0.008112, "from_low_reference": 0.026991 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.994151, "fair_value_reference": 17.123984, "structural_low": 17.821041, 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"up", "direction": 78.232901, "energy": 76.170411, "activity_lines": [ 18.049675, 18.024431, 17.990857, 17.988636 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 18.010065, "volume": 2805, "typical_volume": 1289.65, "trend": 17.981533, "fair_value": 17.079205, "relative_strength": -9.289876, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.731034, "energy": 42.294718, "activity_lines": [ 18.038839, 18.027404, 17.993838, 17.990804 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 17.960232, "volume": 500, "typical_volume": 1309.65, "trend": 17.984944, "fair_value": 17.093172, "relative_strength": -9.418714, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.733328, "energy": 24.199345, "activity_lines": [ 18.013454, 18.019868, 17.992822, 17.98943 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 18.09, "volume": 200, "typical_volume": 1319.65, "trend": 17.992025, "fair_value": 17.109175, "relative_strength": -7.967278, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 74.137366, "energy": 42.691786, "activity_lines": [ 18.03671, 18.034482, 18.004303, 17.996207 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.02, "volume": 3323, "typical_volume": 1455.8, "trend": 17.994151, "fair_value": 17.123984, "relative_strength": -10.813656, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 38.467417, "energy": 20.80179, "activity_lines": [ 18.029377, 18.032024, 18.008638, 17.998012 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }