{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ef1a275c-7fb0-4071-84f2-c5da5e8f0093",
    "symbol": "TSTH",
    "name": "Tata Steel (Thailand) Public Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SET",
    "country": "TH",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^SET.BK",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 69.001,
    "architecture_energy": 74.945,
    "architecture_maturity": 22.568,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.262,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 9.55,
        "rotation_up": 75.04,
        "upward_expansion": 94.98,
        "deceleration": 39.5,
        "rotation_down": 13.11,
        "downward_expansion": 16.98
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.979333,
        0.947455,
        0.915078,
        0.874969
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 0.99,
    "trend_reference": 0.820144,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.207104,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.714297,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.385978,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": 12.448657,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.383971,
    "excess_performance": 0.191646,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.207104,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.129554,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.385978,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.048563,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.124487,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.022001,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.383971,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.701197,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 17028200,
      "relative_activity": 0.345548,
      "balance": 0.701197,
      "dry_up": 0.463966,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.07252,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.483849,
      "from_high_reference": -0.048077,
      "from_low_reference": 0.651836
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.820144,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.714297,
      "structural_low": 0.667,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.02382,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.008405,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.126761,
        "worst_return": -0.084745,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.070424,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.030811,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.168357,
        "worst_return": -0.101695,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.165707,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.180885,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.056337,
        "worst_return": -0.275078,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.025405,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.109908,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.325887,
        "worst_return": -0.275078,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.15,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-06-13",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.042857,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-06-20",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.107693,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.070424,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.105264,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-12-12",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.029852,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "end": "2026-01-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.171874,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-02-06",
        "end": "2026-02-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.013513,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "return": -0.013699,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2026-03-27",
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        "return": 0.083333,
        "active": false
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        "return": 0.051282,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "active": true
      }
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "energy": 39.889135,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "volume": 35745200,
        "typical_volume": 49237440.0,
        "trend": 0.796022,
        "fair_value": 0.711641,
        "relative_strength": 8.166473,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 66.278508,
        "energy": 51.175425,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 1.0,
        "volume": 17072700,
        "typical_volume": 49817975.0,
        "trend": 0.808733,
        "fair_value": 0.712908,
        "relative_strength": 12.816761,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.157061,
        "energy": 66.177851,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.966,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.99,
        "volume": 17028200,
        "typical_volume": 49278865.0,
        "trend": 0.820144,
        "fair_value": 0.714297,
        "relative_strength": 12.448657,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.001483,
        "energy": 74.945264,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}