{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ef1bd522-aba0-4cf4-a905-b7d61267f1c1", "symbol": "WCC", "name": "WESCO International Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 95.09, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 48.043, "architecture_energy": 26.394, "architecture_maturity": 33.243, "architecture_confidence": 63.451, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.87, "rotation_up": 41.44, "upward_expansion": 60.58, "deceleration": 63.18, "rotation_down": 22.53, "downward_expansion": 15.25 }, "activity_lines": [ 345.389333, 341.199634, 342.531364, 331.284938 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 363.74, "trend_reference": 317.306337, "distance_from_trend": 0.146337, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 205.815816, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.767308, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 15.413108, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.15766, "excess_performance": 0.032036, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.146337, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.097168, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.767308, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.09966, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.154131, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.1554, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.15766, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.366666, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 3092463, "relative_activity": 1.025818, "balance": 1.366666, "dry_up": 1.231427, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.08758, "annualized_volatility": 0.383056, "from_high_reference": -0.056128, "from_low_reference": 0.81964 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 317.306337, "fair_value_reference": 205.815816, "structural_low": 243.728573, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 22, "median_return": 0.01513, "positive_rate": 0.590909, "directional_follow_through": 0.590909, "median_excess_return": 0.025208, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.226319, "worst_return": -0.109766, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.113272, "positive_rate": 0.8, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": 0.093502, "regime_survival": 0.3, "best_return": 0.317531, "worst_return": -0.121544, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.044205, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.714286, "median_excess_return": -0.00884, "regime_survival": 0.571429, "best_return": 0.46254, "worst_return": -0.168778, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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{ "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-06-06", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.072475, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-07-18", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.059602, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-07-25", "end": "2025-10-03", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.008844, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-10", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.082817, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.019718, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-01-16", "tenure": 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"activity_lines": [ 335.076, 343.816988, 335.465076, 323.017287 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 327.86, "volume": 4004942, "typical_volume": 2971347.65, "trend": 308.408168, "fair_value": 202.147408, "relative_strength": 10.262344, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 26.465832, "energy": 20.981541, "activity_lines": [ 330.871333, 339.9212, 336.305049, 324.438483 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 332.48, "volume": 2639606, "typical_volume": 2962402.35, "trend": 311.053829, "fair_value": 203.208632, "relative_strength": 11.87292, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 15.149767, "energy": 16.670256, "activity_lines": [ 329.467333, 337.355202, 337.397689, 325.991504 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 343.49, "volume": 5112177, "typical_volume": 3016133.85, "trend": 314.127947, "fair_value": 204.454746, "relative_strength": 13.611237, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.511355, "energy": 11.468876, "activity_lines": [ 333.925333, 337.258722, 339.209166, 328.084161 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 363.74, "volume": 3092463, "typical_volume": 3014630.7, "trend": 317.306337, "fair_value": 205.815816, "relative_strength": 15.413108, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 48.042775, "energy": 26.39367, "activity_lines": [ 345.389333, 341.199634, 342.531364, 331.284938 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }