{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "ef29a68c-d80d-424e-ac33-161d9e348bfe",
    "symbol": "00861",
    "name": "Yuanta Global NextGen Communications ETF",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 32.384,
    "architecture_energy": 27.397,
    "architecture_maturity": 72.218,
    "architecture_confidence": 87.785,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 45.22,
        "rotation_up": 19.82,
        "upward_expansion": 55.25,
        "deceleration": 94.0,
        "rotation_down": 32.47,
        "downward_expansion": 21.25
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        86.353333,
        88.456364,
        87.151191,
        82.656775
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
    },
    "latest_close": 86.949997,
    "trend_reference": 76.256667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.140228,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 48.003077,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.811342,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 1.373573,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.417278,
    "excess_performance": 0.037966,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.140228,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.186997,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.811342,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.073131,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013736,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.011386,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.417278,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.871694,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1008195,
      "relative_activity": 1.479922,
      "balance": 1.871694,
      "dry_up": 1.091318,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.058168,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.273971,
      "from_high_reference": -0.10222,
      "from_low_reference": 1.024447
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 76.256667,
      "fair_value_reference": 48.003077,
      "structural_low": 60.0,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 12,
        "median_return": 0.008148,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.007498,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.088631,
        "worst_return": -0.082811,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.065771,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.015084,
        "regime_survival": 0.125,
        "best_return": 0.158373,
        "worst_return": -0.090403,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.027187,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.030849,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.150745,
        "worst_return": -0.180523,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.034908,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.077854,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.383945,
        "worst_return": -0.158243,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2023-10-13",
        "end": "2023-11-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.046003,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-11-24",
        "end": "2024-04-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.154242,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-03",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.055906,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-08-02",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.025386,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-09",
        "end": "2024-11-22",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.045206,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-11-29",
        "end": "2024-12-13",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.033318,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.011941,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-04-04",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.022037,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-11",
        "end": "2025-04-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.058292,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-05-02",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.039444,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.022867,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-07-25",
        "end": "2025-08-29",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.03543,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-09-05",
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        "return": 0.854326,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.001151,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "typical_volume": 1025263.1,
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        "fair_value": 42.444423,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "fair_value": 43.820833,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 776218.35,
        "trend": 64.243334,
        "fair_value": 44.213974,
        "relative_strength": 5.094839,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 7.810556,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 707407.3,
        "trend": 71.033334,
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        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "trend": 72.176667,
        "fair_value": 46.614487,
        "relative_strength": 2.181333,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 66.103191,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 84.650002,
        "volume": 911049,
        "typical_volume": 727536.35,
        "trend": 73.146667,
        "fair_value": 46.956154,
        "relative_strength": 2.614035,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 51.119794,
        "energy": 51.510665,
        "activity_lines": [
          89.496667,
          90.611819,
          85.598572,
          80.303549
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 86.849998,
        "volume": 349188,
        "typical_volume": 681514.4,
        "trend": 74.245,
        "fair_value": 47.308526,
        "relative_strength": 2.772014,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.739511,
        "energy": 35.299191,
        "activity_lines": [
          87.986666,
          90.015455,
          86.265239,
          81.187635
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 85.300003,
        "volume": 705404,
        "typical_volume": 687856.45,
        "trend": 75.233334,
        "fair_value": 47.652885,
        "relative_strength": 2.095385,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 36.346053,
        "energy": 29.614753,
        "activity_lines": [
          86.586667,
          89.081819,
          86.680239,
          81.900861
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 86.949997,
        "volume": 1008195,
        "typical_volume": 681248.55,
        "trend": 76.256667,
        "fair_value": 48.003077,
        "relative_strength": 1.373573,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 32.384427,
        "energy": 27.396571,
        "activity_lines": [
          86.353333,
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          82.656775
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}