{ "ticker": { "uuid": "ef3a27fd-80f2-44a0-a90a-25c189c2ff9b", "symbol": "300667", "name": "Beijing Beetech Inc.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -65.126, "architecture_energy": 75.884, "architecture_maturity": 22.54, "architecture_confidence": 78.697, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 15.49, "rotation_up": 8.84, "upward_expansion": 17.36, "deceleration": 37.16, "rotation_down": 76.89, "downward_expansion": 93.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.873333, 14.935091, 16.35119, 16.833591 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 14.32, "trend_reference": 17.500666, "distance_from_trend": -0.181745, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 16.140919, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.112814, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -18.218829, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.224269, "excess_performance": -0.231668, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.181745, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.012749, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.112814, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.263831, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.182188, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.096625, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.224269, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.702405, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 26500890, "relative_activity": 0.623292, "balance": 1.702405, "dry_up": 0.747686, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.145359, "annualized_volatility": 0.589684, "from_high_reference": -0.339483, "from_low_reference": 0.218723 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 17.500666, "fair_value_reference": 16.140919, "structural_low": 11.75, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.064103, "positive_rate": 0.684211, "directional_follow_through": 0.315789, "median_excess_return": -0.001945, "regime_survival": 0.631579, "best_return": 0.602134, "worst_return": -0.186079, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.063138, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.444444, "median_excess_return": -0.016553, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.255533, "worst_return": -0.312466, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.020481, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.000126, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.344512, "worst_return": -0.241865, 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"active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.087312, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-08-15", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.04534, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-22", "end": "2025-09-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.101236, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-10-03", "end": "2025-10-24", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.043109, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-10-31", "end": "2025-12-12", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.071078, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-12-19", "end": 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-13.447162, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.968675, "energy": 48.220438, "activity_lines": [ 16.798666, 17.569818, 17.792762, 17.927871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 13.32, "volume": 38703730, "typical_volume": 43322183.6, "trend": 17.898, "fair_value": 16.235799, "relative_strength": -22.22539, "stage": 1, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -79.969654, "energy": 75.149142, "activity_lines": [ 15.482666, 16.702, 17.367952, 17.62357 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.33, "volume": 30953872, "typical_volume": 42478949.7, "trend": 17.754, "fair_value": 16.201844, "relative_strength": -21.995845, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.232691, "energy": 78.075129, "activity_lines": [ 14.502667, 15.934, 16.975, 17.32886 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.37, "volume": 31000733, "typical_volume": 42668806.35, "trend": 17.612666, "fair_value": 16.163693, "relative_strength": -20.085559, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.298675, "energy": 80.184271, "activity_lines": [ 13.934667, 15.296182, 16.608571, 17.046021 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 14.32, "volume": 26500890, "typical_volume": 42517609.55, "trend": 17.500666, "fair_value": 16.140919, "relative_strength": -18.218829, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.126175, "energy": 75.883746, "activity_lines": [ 13.873333, 14.935091, 16.35119, 16.833591 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }